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Thursday polls: Trump Keeps Lead in Most Battlegrounds

By Sandy Fitzgerald | Thursday, 24 October 2024, 01:42 PM EDT

The latest battleground state polls have the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remaining a dead heat as Election Day approaches, with single-digit margins or ties being reported. The seven battlegrounds of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin will likely determine who will become president, political analysts say.

Current polling for each state shows:

Arizona: The race between Trump and Harris remains tight. A Marist Poll released Thursday shows Trump with a 1-point lead (50%-49%) over Harris. Recent polls from Morning Consult/Bloomberg and Atlas have the two in a tie at 49% each.
Georgia: The numbers are still too close to call. The Marist Poll on Thursday shows Trump and Harris in a tie with 49% each. The recent Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll shows Trump up by 2 points (50%-48%).
Michigan: No new polls for Thursday. A RealClear Politics average gives the battleground state’s nod to Trump (47.9%-47.7%).
Nevada: Thursday’s Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll shows Harris over Trump 49%-48%.
North Carolina: A Marist Poll released Thursday shows Trump in the lead 50%-48%. An Emerson College poll Thursday has Trump up 50%-48%. The Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll has Trump over Harris (50%-49%).
Pennsylvania: A poll released Thursday by Franklin & Marshall College gives Trump a slight edge 50%-49%. The Emerson College poll Thursday shows Trump up by 1 (49%-48%). The Bloomberg poll gives Harris the nod (50%-48%).
Wisconsin: The Emerson College poll released Thursday shows Trump up by 1 point (49% to 48%).

Sandy Fitzgerald ✉

Sandy Fitzgerald has more than three decades in journalism and serves as a general assignment writer for Newsmax covering news, media, and politics.

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Harris Campaign Adviser Admits Poll Lead Over Trump Was Misleading

American Patriot | October 18, 2024

A senior adviser to the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz presidential campaign has admitted that the perceived lead Harris held over former President Donald Trump in recent polls was not as significant as it appeared. David Plouffe, a veteran political strategist and adviser to Harris, made this revelation during an interview on the popular podcast Pod Save America over the weekend, sparking concerns about the direction of the campaign. Plouffe’s comments revealed that the comfortable lead over Trump that had been reported in recent months was, in fact, misleading. “This is the race we have; it’s the race we expected,” Plouffe said, explaining that the race between Harris and Trump is much closer than earlier polls suggested. He added, “I don’t think it’s going to open up for either candidate. I think it’s going to be close all the way in.”

Plouffe discussed how a string of polls over the past month had shown Harris with a comfortable lead over Trump, but this lead quickly evaporated as more recent data became available. He explained that the earlier polling numbers did not reflect the true state of the race, leading to what he described as a “freakout” within Democratic circles.

“I think the freakout is because there were a bunch of polls, I’d say in the last month, that showed a lead for Kamala Harris that was not real,” Plouffe said during the interview. “It’s not what we were seeing. We’ve seen this thing basically be tied, let’s say, since mid-September.”

According to Plouffe, Harris never had a commanding lead over Trump, and the race has been neck and neck for some time. The perceived lead, which some media outlets and polls suggested was in Harris’s favor, was not backed by internal campaign data. Instead, both candidates have been running in a tight race that will likely stay competitive until the election day.

Plouffe emphasized that the Harris campaign anticipated a tight contest from the beginning and was not counting on an easy victory. He reminded listeners that, in key battleground states, the race will likely be decided by a very slim margin. “This thing’s going to be decided on the margins in these few numbers of states,” he said.

Drawing parallels to the 2020 election, Plouffe warned that the Harris campaign must prepare for another razor-thin outcome. In 2020, Trump lost to President Joe Biden by narrow margins in several swing states, and Plouffe suggested a similar dynamic is at play in 2024.

While the Harris campaign holds hope for broader support, Plouffe noted that Trump appears stronger this election cycle than in 2020. “We have a higher ceiling,” Plouffe said of Harris’s potential to win over undecided voters, “but I also think Trump is stronger than he was in 2020.” This statement acknowledges the possibility of Trump gaining ground among voters who previously voted against him or were undecided in the previous election.

For the Harris campaign, the challenge lies in mobilizing voters, particularly in key battleground states. Plouffe’s comments suggested that Harris’s path to victory will require a combination of energizing her base and winning over swing voters in states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin.

Pollsters and political analysts have echoed Plouffe’s sentiment, predicting that the 2024 presidential election will hinge on turnout and voter enthusiasm. While Harris may have a “higher ceiling,” her campaign must work harder to tap into that potential, especially as Trump’s base remains energized and highly motivated.

Plouffe’s remarks also highlight the growing strength of Trump’s candidacy. Despite facing legal battles and controversies, Trump has maintained strong support among his base, and recent polls indicate that he is competitive in key states that he narrowly lost in 2020. This newfound strength has made the 2024 election even more challenging for the Harris campaign.

Former President Trump has remained a formidable opponent in the political landscape, and his influence over the Republican Party is stronger than ever. Plouffe’s comments suggest that the Harris campaign is well aware of the challenges ahead, particularly as Trump continues to rally his supporters with promises of a return to power.

David Plouffe’s candid assessment of the Harris campaign’s standing in the race against Trump offers a sobering look at the reality of the 2024 election. While earlier polls may have shown Harris with an edge, the truth is that the race is far closer than previously thought. As both campaigns gear up for the final stretch, the Harris team faces an uphill battle in maintaining momentum and ensuring high voter turnout.

With Trump’s growing strength and the narrowing of the polls, the 2024 election promises to be a tightly contested battle that could once again be decided by just a few thousand votes in critical swing states. Both sides are bracing for a fierce fight to the finish, as the stakes for both parties could not be higher.

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New poll reveals which voter group are fueling Trump to a narrow edge over Harris in battleground

By Paul Steinhauser Fox News | Published October 8, 2024, 2:00pm EDT

Fox News’ Bill Melugin on Kamala Harris’ upcoming Arizona border trip as polls show more voters trust Trump on border policy. Former President Donald Trump holds a razor-thin two-point edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in battleground Arizona, according to a new public opinion poll. Fueling the former president’s margin appears to be support from voters age 50 and over.

Trump stands at 49% among likely voters in Arizona, with Harris at 47%, according to an AARP poll conducted Sept. 24-Oct. 1 and released on Tuesday. According to the survey, Green Party candidate Jill Stein grabs 1% support, with 3% undecided.

The survey points to a generational divide.

WHAT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POLLS IN THE 2024 ELECTION SHOW

Trump speaks in Tucson, Arizona — Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign event at the Linda Ronstadt Music Hall on Thursday in Tucson, Arizona. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

“Among voters 50+, Trump is ahead by 7 points, driven by a 14-point lead among voters 50-64,” the poll’s release highlights.

Harris holds a 4-point advantage among voters under 50, according to the survey, “while the race is a tossup with seniors.”

CHECK OUT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS IN THE 2024 ELECTION

The poll also points to a gender gap in Arizona which favors Trump. The former president and Republican nominee is up 11-points over the vice president and Democratic nominee among men, but down only 6 points among female voters, the survey indicates.

Harris at Glendale, Arizona rally — While on the presidential campaign trail stopping in battleground states, Vice President Kamala Harris walks out into a packed rally in Glendale, Arizona, on Friday, Aug. 9, 2024. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

The survey is the latest to indicate a margin of error race between Harris and Trump in Arizona, a state President Biden narrowly carried over Trump in the 2020 election.

Arizona’s one of seven crucial battlegrounds whose razor-thin margins decided Biden’s White House victory four years ago and are likely to determine if Harris or Trump win the 2024 election.

NEW POLL INDICATES WHETHER HARRIS OR TRUMP IS WINNING KEY VOTERS IN TWO CRUCIAL SOUTHWEST BATTLEGROUNDS

The survey was released on the eve of the kick-off of early in-person voting in Arizona.

Trump and Harris on Philadelphia debate stage — Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump during their first and likely only presidential debate in Philadelphia on Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024. (Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The major party vice presidential nominees – Sen. JD Vance of Ohio and Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota – each hold campaign events in Arizona on Wednesday. Harris returns to the state on Friday.

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Besides being a crucial presidential swing state, Arizona is also holding one of a handful of competitive Senate elections that will decide if the GOP wins back the chamber’s majority. The AARP poll indicates Democratic Senate nominee Rep. Rueben Gallego holding a 51%-44% lead over Republican nominee Kari Lake, a former news anchor who narrowly lost the state’s 2022 gubernatorial election.

The AARP poll was conducted by the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) & Impact Research (Democrat). The firms interviewed 1,358 likely voters in Arizona. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.

Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in New Hampshire.

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Poll: Election-Shifting Percentage of Voters Admit to Illegal Voting In 2020

BY: JUSTIN HASKINS | APRIL 30, 2024

JUSTIN HASKINS

For the past three years, the corporate press and numerous officials in the Biden White House have asserted there is no evidence widespread voter fraud occurred during the 2020 presidential election. Some have even gone so far as to call it the “most secure” election in U.S. history.

However, a poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports — a survey I wrote with a team of experts at the Heartland Institute and discussed last week on Tucker Carlson’s show — not only calls into question that often-repeated claim, it shows the opposite could have been true. According to its findings, voter fraud, especially fraud related to mail-in ballots, may have been common in the 2020 election. This conclusion isn’t based on questionable allegations but on voters’ own responses to the poll questions.

The Heartland Institute/Rasmussen survey, which was conducted from Nov. 30 to Dec. 6, asked likely voters who cast ballots in 2020 questions about fraudulent activities, without telling them such actions were a form of voter fraud. The results were stunning. One in five people who voted by mail admitted to engaging in at least one kind of potential voter fraud, seriously calling into question the security of widespread mail-in balloting.

For example, one question asked, “During the 2020 election, did you cast a mail-in ballot in a state where you were no longer a permanent resident?” Such an action nearly always constitutes fraud. Incredibly, 17 percent of voters said “yes.”

Another question asked if “a friend or family member” filled out a respondent’s ballot, “in part or in full,” on behalf of the respondent, which is illegal in some states. Nineteen percent of mail-in voters who responded to the survey answered “yes.”

Even more remarkably, 21 percent of respondents admitted to filling out a ballot for someone they know, such as a spouse or child, and 17 percent confessed to signing a ballot or ballot envelope “on behalf of a friend or family member, with or without his or her permission” — both potential forms of illegal voting.

Taken together, these results strongly indicate fraud and illegal voting heavily affected mail-in balloting in the 2020 election. Even if a fraction of the people admitting wrongdoing here are actually guilty, that would still equal the electoral margin for 2020.

It’s an incredibly important finding since that contest involved more mail-in ballots than any other election in U.S. history. Election officials report that of 159 million ballots cast in 2020, more than 68 million were submitted by mail, about 43 percent of the total. In addition, as the MIT Election Data and Science Lab noted, “the dramatic increase in the raw number of absentee ballots cast was accompanied by a significant decrease in the overall absentee rejection rate for the country: from 0.96 percent in 2016 to 0.79 percent in 2020.”

If the recent Heartland Institute/Rasmussen survey is accurate and one in five ballots were, in fact, fraudulent, that would suggest greater than 13 million ballots should not have been counted nationwide in 2020. That’s far more than the margin of victory for President Biden in the popular vote, about 7 million.

As troubling as these findings are, however, additional questions in the Heartland Institute/Rasmussen survey suggest voter fraud and illegal voting may have been even worse than the one-in-five figure suggests. For instance, 8 percent of all respondents — not just those who voted by mail — said they were offered “pay” or “reward” in return for voting.

Equally disturbing, 10 percent of voters said, “a friend, family member, co-worker, or other acquaintance” admitted to them that he or she “cast a mail-in ballot in 2020 in a state other than his or her state of permanent residence.” Eleven percent said that “a friend, family member, co-worker, or other acquaintance” admitted to filling out someone else’s ballot.

These questions could indicate far more fraud occurred than anyone previously thought.

It’s also worth remembering that presidents are not elected by a national popular vote but through the Electoral College. The three states in which Trump and Biden were closest — Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin — were all decided by fewer than 21,000 votes.

Biden narrowly won each of those contests, but if he had lost those three states, he wouldn’t have reached the 270 electoral vote thresholds needed to win the presidency. Instead, the Electoral College vote would have been a tie, pushing the decision to the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. With such razor-thin margins and the results of the recent Heartland/Rasmussen voter fraud survey in mind, it’s hard not to wonder how big of an effect fraud truly had on the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.

But regardless of how much fraud occurred, one thing is absolutely certain: States must take appropriate legislative action to protect the integrity of the next presidential election so that all Americans can be confident that the winner of the 2024 campaign will capture the White House fair and square.

There is already substantial evidence that voter fraud could play a significant role in 2024. Another survey conducted in March and April by the Heartland Institute and Rasmussen shows that 28 percent of likely voters now say they would commit at least one form of illegal voting during the 2024 election, “if given the opportunity.” Interestingly, respondents’ willingness to commit fraud was similar among Republicans, Democrats, and independents.

There is some good news, however. The threat of voter fraud can be limited dramatically by changing mail-in ballot rules. Voters who are physically able to cast their ballots in person should be required to do so, or they should be mandated to have their ballot signature notarized, significantly reducing opportunities for fraud. Lawmakers could fund public programs to increase access to free notaries for those who need them.

According to the National Conference of State Legislatures, just three states require notaries for mail-in ballots — Mississippi, Missouri, and Oklahoma. Only nine additional states mandate that a voter obtain one or more non-notary witness signatures when casting a ballot by mail. Most states require neither a witness nor a notary to verify signatures.

Lawmakers must ensure widespread voter fraud does not happen in future elections. That can only occur if mail-in voting systems are radically improved. Time is running out for legislators to fix these major threats to American self-government.

Justin Haskins (Jhaskins@heartland.org) is the director of the Socialism Research Center at The Heartland Institute and a New York Times bestselling author.

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Battle-Tested Trump Brings A New And Improved Ground Game To Iowa

BY: M.D. KITTLE | JANUARY 12, 2024

M.D. KITTLE

URBANDALE, Iowa — With four days and a few hours to go before the starting gun of the presidential nominating season, Donald Trump Jr. rallied the troops in suburban Des Moines on behalf of his frontrunner father.

Motivation was a hard commodity to come by on a cold and gray January day, with the remnants of the first heavy snowstorm of the season mucking up the streets with dirty slush. But the troops — warriors for former President Donald Trump — are hearty stock, like Hawkeye Cauci veterans around the state. After all, some of these folks have been showing up to this curious exhibition of representative democracy for more than 50 years, and they take their role as first-in-the-nation ambassadors of the presidential nomination chase very seriously.

We’ll see just how serious Iowa’s Republican voters are come Monday, caucus day, when the high is expected to drop below zero. By 7 p.m. Iowa time, when this internationally watched political pageant gets underway, temperatures could plummet to as low as minus-15 degrees with a wind chill of Ouch!

But if the 2024 presidential campaign and the past eight years have taught us anything, it’s that there are people in this deeply divided republic who would crawl through broken glass, barbed wire, and solid ice to vote for the former president. Still, Trump, rolling into the caucuses with a 50-point lead over his nearest challengers nationally and up by at least 35 points in Iowa, isn’t taking anything for granted.

“That’s why this Monday is so critical. We’ve got to send a message,” Don Jr. told the gathering of some 80 Trump supporters and reporters gathered at Urbandale’s Machine Shed restaurant. The event was organized by the Des Moines Bull Moose Conservative Club.

“I understand it’s going to be minus-4, but if I can get my Florida butt back up here … everyone can get back up here,” the president’s eldest child said.

The Trump campaign, unlike eight years ago, is taking nothing for granted. Forget the polls, turnout is the thing, campaign officials say.

“We’ve got to treat Monday as if we’re 10 points back,” Trump Jr. admonished. He said the left, establishment Republicans, and the Trump-hating corporate media are counting on caucus-goer apathy to diminish expected big numbers for the former president. A smaller margin of victory, perhaps driven by Trump supporters believing the win is in the bag, is a narrative Trump’s opponents would pounce on heading into next week’s New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, the thinking goes.

In short, Trump is beatable.

His opponents point to Iowa 2016, when Trump took the political world by storm, but finished tied for second with Florida Republican Sen. Marco Rubio. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas won the caucuses in a much more crowded field of candidates.

‘Night and Day’

But much has changed in eight years. Trump may be the same Trump in many ways, but he’s a much different candidate coming in. The Iowa surprise for Cruz ultimately meant little. Trump went on to claim the GOP nomination, win the presidency, and become the subject of the left’s unrelenting loathing. He’s battle-tested, with arguably more political scars than any presidential candidate in the republic’s history.

Moreover, the Trump ground game in Iowa is significantly improved, more nimble, and much better organized than it was during his first presidential run. It’s so good, in fact, Trump can’t even seem to believe it.

“I was with the president all last week and he asked me that exact question [about whether the ground game has improved since 2016], and I told him it’s the difference between night and day,” said Iowa state Sen. Brad Zaun, a Des Moines-area Republican who was the first state elected official to endorse Trump in 2016 and again this year.

Zaun may be a bit biased, but the Trump ally was a frequent witness to the campaign’s Iowa operations in 2016, as he has been this campaign cycle. The senator said there’s a professionalism and an organizational focus this go-round that wasn’t there eight years ago.

The campaign’s suburban Des Moines headquarters has been hopping for months, with an army of volunteers working extended shifts seven days a week. There’s a greater emphasis on data, and an almost manic drive to connect with grassroots conservatives in every corner of the kick-off caucus state.

“It’s vastly improved,” said John Humeston, a caucus captain for the Trump campaign in Ankeny. “They’ve got a great staff that started early.”

Trump caucus captains are charged with turning out the voters. They’re given a list of Iowans that have shown support, or even a passing interest, in the former president. Humeston said his list is six pages long. He and his fellow volunteers place plenty of calls in the evenings.

At the headquarters, it’s a little like the Frank Capra Christmas classic, “It’s a Wonderful Life”: Instead of angels getting their wings, Trump volunteers ring a call bell every time an Iowa voter commits to caucusing for the frontrunner.

“Caucus captains have to find 10 new ones to bring to the caucus,” Humeston said. “It gives everyone more of a goal.”

There’s a lot more money involved, too.

Big Money, Bigger Stakes

In 2023, Republican presidential candidates and outside groups spent nearly $105 million on ads in Iowa, NBC News reported. It’s a proverbial drop in the bucket compared to the $10.2 billion in total political advertisement expenditures that AdImpact projects for the 2023-24 election cycle.

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and the super PACs backing her presidential quest lead the money chase, spending a combined $30 million according to the NBC News report. Haley, who served as Trump’s United Nation’s ambassador, has helped turn Iowa’s airwaves into a blanket of campaign ads.

The campaign for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has spent $2.3 million on ads in Iowa, while pro-DeSantis super PAC Never Back Down has kicked in at least $17.6 million, according to the AdImpact figures. Trump’s campaign has spent north of $4 million, while super PAC MAGA Inc. has dropped $11.4 million in its Iowa ad campaign.

The former president has spent comparatively less time in the Hawkeye State than most of his rivals, focusing on periodic large-scale rallies and foregoing the small retail politics events at the core of the long caucus campaign season. A New York Post article recently quipped that “Trump is outsourcing his Iowa campaign to surrogates.” Prominent supporters including Arizona Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake, former HUD Secretary Ben Carson, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, and cancel culture target Roseanne Barr have been barnstorming Iowa on behalf of their candidate in recent days.

DeSantis, meanwhile, has made campaign stops in each of Iowa’s 99 counties, fulfilling his promise to do the “Full Grassley.” Chuck Grassley, Iowa’s senior U.S. senator, has for decades made it his annual mission to pay a call on Iowans in every county.

Haley, too, has made scores of campaign stops in Iowa, and fellow GOP presidential hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy last month celebrated the “double Grassley.” The Ohio entrepreneur, who has essentially made Iowa a second home since entering the race nearly a year ago, has held at least two campaign events in each of the 99 counties. Ramaswamy is running a distant fourth in Iowa, at south of 7 percent in the latest RealClearPolitics average of polls.

DeSantis has bet heavily on Iowa, devoting a significant share of his campaign’s staff and volunteers to his Hawkeye State operations. Despite the investment and time, DeSantis is polling at 15.5 percent to Trump’s 53 percent, according to the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa Republicans. The popular Florida governor is running third in Iowa, just behind Haley, who is polling at 17.8 percent. After being seen as the strongest Republican challenger to Trump, DeSantis shook up his campaign in August as he lost traction in the polls.

‘Double Forms of Justice’

As the New York Post notes, Trump’s supporters get why he’s not been as present on the campaign trail as his rivals. The former president has had his share of distractions this campaign season, with a host of legal problems tying up much of his time. He’s been busy fending off a long list of charges across four indictments that threaten to send him to prison for the rest of his life — charges brought by Democrat President Joe Biden’s Department of Justice and his leftist prosecutor allies in a naked political quest to dispose of Biden’s No. 1 political opponent.

It’s the attack on Trump and the rule of law that has so many of his Iowa supporters ready to brave a brutally cold winter’s evening in Iowa to caucus for their candidate. Beyond their concerns about the economy, inflation, and the debacle at the Southwest border, Trump backers at the Machine Shed Thursday afternoon said they’re tired of what they see as a two-tiered system of justice under Biden.

“The politics of this current administration, the double forms of justice that are just so obvious, it just doesn’t seem like America,” said Suzanne Spooner of nearby Granger when asked about her greatest concerns this election year. “I think our country is a mess. I think President Trump did a good job of getting us in a better space than we’ve ever been in before, and I support getting things back on track again.”

Members of the Trump army, particularly the caucus captains, say they’re ready to help bring home a big victory Monday night for the former president in his latest pursuit of the White House. Trump’s son reminded them that there’s not a moment to lose.

“We have an opportunity to do something, but we have to do it now,” Trump Jr. said. “Let’s get out there on Monday. Let’s make sure everyone shows up. Let’s decide this thing early. Let’s finish this thing strong.”

M.D. Kittle is an award-winning investigative reporter and 30-year veteran of print, broadcast, and online journalism.

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Why Joe Biden’s Poll Numbers Are Even Worse for Democrats Than They Think

BY: KYLEE GRISWOLD | NOVEMBER 16, 2023

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KYLEE GRISWOLD

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Democrats have one huge, unavoidable problem. And his name is Joe Biden.

According to recent polls, GOP front-runner and former President Donald Trump would beat Biden if the 2024 election were held today. A Quinnipiac poll out Wednesday shows Biden with 46 percent and Trump with 48 percent among registered voters, still within the margin of error and too close to call. However, a new Fox News poll, also out Wednesday, shows that in a head-to-head, the former president would prevail with 50 percent to Biden’s 46 — a number Trump has never garnered in a Fox poll going back to October 2015.

Do these numbers and thin margins mean anything? Maybe not. We are still a year from the election. And if 2016 taught us anything, it’s that polls are traditionally garbage and are used far more often as tools to shape public opinion than to reflect it. But there are deeper and far more meaningful insights to mine from the survey, and they don’t spell good things for the Democrat Party.

For instance, it’s worth noting that not only does Biden appear to be losing generally to Trump, but the incumbent is losing his own dependable voters to his rival. Polls show Biden is hemorrhaging black, Hispanic, suburban, and young voters — all demographics that reliably vote Democrat. It could have something to do with how Biden has handled major crises he’s either caused or exacerbated. According to Quinnipiac, voters disapprove of his response to the Hamas attack and subsequent fallout (54 percent disapproval to 37 percent approval), his economy (59 to 37 percent), his foreign policy (61 to 34 percent), his border crisis (65 to 26 percent), and his response to the Russia-Ukraine war (49 to 47 percent).

The implications are simple. Voters are confronting a rare moment in U.S. history in which they can actually compare what it’s like to live under the leadership, or lack thereof, of the two major presidential candidates. Do they want Bidenomics or the affordable grocery and gas prices of the Trump era? Do they want war in the Middle East — or Eastern Europe or the South China Sea — or peace? Do they want an open border or national security? The Trump-Biden decision is an increasingly easy calculation for voters to make.

So, Democrats are stuck. And they did this to themselves, largely by closing off the possibility of a primary and instead committing to dragging Joe’s corpse across the finish line.

And yes, that really is the strategy. It’s not that Biden is a strong candidate by any measure, save for maybe his incumbency, but again, even that’s in doubt after his disastrous first term. He’s a demonstrably weak candidate, especially compared to Trump — another reality easily extrapolated from the polls.

On the Republican side — which, in contrast to Democrats, is still choosing to slog through primary election theatrics — the second-tier candidates are a notable governor and former governor, both beloved by their states and beyond. And Trump is still leading them by some 50 points. He’s got 48 points on Ron DeSantis and 51 on Nikki Haley. If prominent leftist governors such as Gavin Newsom or Gretchen Whitmer were to challenge Biden for the Democrat nomination, there’s no way he’d have that kind of lead.

This week there have been murmurs of a potential challenger — just maybe not who you would have expected. Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson was on Capitol Hill hobnobbing with Sen. Chuck Schumer on Wednesday and refused to answer reporters’ questions about whether he’ll run for president. This after he divulged last week that the parties did approach him last year. And you can see the twinkle in Democrats’ eyes at the thought of dumping weak, old Biden for his antithesis. Here’s Schumer flirting with The Rock on X after their meeting, posting cutesy little lyrics from one of the actor’s Disney roles.

But while Democrats might view The Rock as an exit strategy, they still have a monumental problem to overcome: Voters aren’t just fed up with Biden, they’re fed up with Democrat policies both foreign and domestic.

There’s no denying Democrats have become the party of mass illegal immigration. Every town is a border town, and even urbanites are done with the Democrat policies overrunning their cities with aliens who suck resources dry. Speaking of cities, left-wing policies have destroyed them, from Portland and Seattle to Washington, D.C. Democrats’ soft-on-crime policies have caused violence in these places to skyrocket, with carjackings up more than 100 percent since last year and violent crime up 40 percent in our nation’s capitol. In fact, just this week D.C.’s disaster of a mayor declared a state of emergency because youth violent crime has gotten so bad. Meanwhile, Democrats have also become the party of inflation, war, no-limits abortion, transing kids, weaponizing the federal government, terrorist sympathizing, and every other anti-America policy position you can imagine.

That takes a strong leader to overcome. Sure, The Rock does a magnificent job at the role he plays in every movie, but he’s not that leader. And besides, would today’s Democrat Party really vote for a candidate who’s a Joe Rogan bro and friends with Trump supporters?

So, Democrats are left to lie with sleepy Joe in the bed they made for themselves. It’s hard to feel sorry for them.

Kylee Griswold is the editorial director of The Federalist. She previously worked as the copy editor for the Washington Examiner magazine and as an editor and producer at National Geographic. She holds a B.S. in Communication Arts/Speech and an A.S. in Criminal Justice and writes on topics including feminism and gender issues, religion, and the media. Follow her on Twitter @kyleezempel.

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Gov. Ron DeSantis to Newsmax: Polls Push to Get Trump In, Biden Out

By Eric Mack | Monday, 25 September 2023 02:07 PM EDT

The Washington Post/ABC News released a poll showing former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by 10 points, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis suspects that is effectively a narrative-driven poll result.

Polls are showing a desire to push narratives to get Trump the GOP nomination and potentially drive Biden out of running for reelection, DeSantis told Newsmax‘s Addison Smith in a one-on-one interview that aired in part on “Newsline.”

“Just understand, the media — if he ends up being the nominee, they will not be putting polls out like that; it’ll be the opposite,” DeSantis said. “I mean, they use this to juice a narrative.”

DeSantis pointed to the poll results showing Trump leading Biden among voters under 35 by 20 points as begging the question about the narrative goals behind publishing a self-described “outlier” result.

“I think people were showing that that poll had Trump beating Biden with under 35 by 20 points: No Republican has even won that, so when you see that you wonder, OK, what are they trying to do?” DeSantis continued. “I think they’re trying to do two things: I think the corporate press does want Trump to be the nominee. I think you see that in the coverage of that. I think you also see that in how they attack me. But I also think they’re trying to get the Democrats to dislodge Biden.”

The “corporate press” is trying to turn Democrats away from a Biden reelection campaign to get another candidate like California Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom in the race, according to DeSantis.

“They want to show that Biden is weak, and they would like to see a Newsom or somebody else,” he added. “So I think when the corporate press is doing this, I think people should take it with a grain of salt, absolutely.”

DeSantis has already been geared up for a Newsom run, having already committed to a Nov. 30 debate with the California Democrat at 9 p.m. ET.

“That’s why, you know, he said he would debate me, so I said, ‘Let’s do it,'” DeSantis continued. “We’re waiting for the date. Hopefully, we’ll be able to do it, you know, within the next month or two. I think it’s an important debate for the country – not like saying who’s better Florida or California, because that debate is over.”

The migration numbers away from California and to Florida has shown people have already voted in that debate “with their feet,” DeSantis said.

“They’ve left California and come to Florida not the other way around. He has lost massive amounts of population. No governor in California history has ever witnessed population loss at all on net and he’s had it and that’s because of the policies he’s driving people away.

“But what’s the future for the country? The future for the country for what the left would want to do is just double down on the California policies. And so I think it’s being important debate. I think he’s definitely angling for it.”

Biden will not just “step down willingly,” DeSantis concluded. “I think it’s harder to dislodge somebody who’s an incumbent president and people assume it would be, but I think the Democrat establishment really, really is concerned, particularly, you know, if they have to run against somebody like me.

“I think that their view on Trump is that he will help energize their base to come out in ways that maybe some other Republicans won’t. I don’t know that that’s true, per se, the way they’re thinking it.

“But they do think that, so I think they’re looking for, How do we get away from this? Because, you know, Biden is floundering on the world stage. I mean, it’s been really embarrassing to see what he’s doing.”

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Today’s Politically INCORRECT Cartoon by A.F. Branco

A.F. Branco Cartoon – Head Strong

A.F. BRANCO | on August 8, 2023 | https://comicallyincorrect.com/a-f-branco-cartoon-head-strong/

The More Jack Smith and the corrupt justice system hit Trump, the higher his poll numbers go.

Trump Polls Go Up — Cartoon by A.F. Branco.

DONATE to A.F.Branco Cartoons – Tips accepted and appreciated – $1.00 – $5.00 – $25.00 – $50.00 – $100 – it all helps to fund this website and keep the cartoons coming. Also Venmo @AFBranco – THANK YOU!

A.F. Branco has taken his two greatest passions, (art and politics) and translated them into cartoons that have been popular all over the country, in various news outlets including NewsMax, Fox News, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, and “The Washington Post.” He has been recognized by such personalities as Rep. Devin Nunes, Dinesh D’Souza, James Woods, Chris Salcedo, Sarah Palin, Larry Elder, Lars Larson, Rush Limbaugh, and President Trump.

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Poll Worker Fired For Selecting Straight Democrat Ticket On Voter’s Ballot, Calling Republicans ‘Racist’

BY: VICTORIA MARSHALL | NOVEMBER 07, 2022

A Democrat poll worker in Indiana has reportedly been fired after allegations surfaced that he had pressured voters into voting against Republican candidates and selected the “straight Democrat ticket” option when helping an individual fill out their ballot.

James Zheng, a poll worker in Carmel, Indiana, is allegedly being investigated by the Hamilton County Sheriff’s Office for incidents of “electioneering and election interference.”

On Thursday, as a group of pro-parental rights education activists stood outside the Carmel polling place, Zheng allegedly told two black voters that they should not vote for the pro-parent, Republican candidates because the activists outside were “racist.” After the voters submitted their ballots, they alerted the activists to what Zheng had told them. The activists then complained to election officials.

Later, a second incident was reported. According to Hamilton County election administrator Beth Sheller, when Zheng was assisting a voter with an electronic ballot, he pressed the straight Democrat ticket option when explaining to the voter how to use the voting machine. The voter was “then confused about how to change the selection” and asked another poll worker for help. That poll worker resolved the issue and alerted the polling location’s election inspector about the incident.

Zheng had been removed from his post as of Friday.

Hamilton County GOP chairman Mario Massillamany told Fox News that Zheng’s conduct raises questions as to how many voters had been confused after he had attempted a similar maneuver but did not alert election officials.

“This should serve as a cautionary reminder that those desperate to hold onto power or gain power will do anything – including breaking the law – to thwart the efforts of parents and taxpayers to replace our school boards with officials who more accurately reflect the values of our community,” he said.

The incidents come after Democrats and their allies in the corporate media launched a nonstop propaganda campaign claiming GOP poll workers represent an existential threat to democracy (despite the fact that actual threats of violence and intimidation are extremely rare). Yet when a Democrat poll worker engages in election interference, Democrats are silent.

As Republicans are expected to make massive gains on Tuesday, expect Democrats to pull out all stops including using their minions (like Zheng) to influence voters, buying votes, interfering in the administrative process, and questioning election results. (According to the corporate media narrative, after all, it’s only acceptable to question elections if they favor GOP candidates.)

Victoria Marshall is a staff writer at The Federalist. Her writing has been featured in the New York Post, National Review, and Townhall. She graduated from Hillsdale College in May 2021 with a major in politics and a minor in journalism. Follow her on Twitter @vemrshll.

Author Victoria Marshall profile

VICTORIA MARSHALL

VISIT ON TWITTER@VEMRSHLL

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Today’s Politically INCORRECT Cartoon by A.F. Branco

A.F. Branco Cartoon – Dirty Deeds

A.F. BRANCO | on September 29, 2022 | https://comicallyincorrect.com/a-f-branco-cartoon-dirty-deeds/

Biden and the Democrats are dropping in the polls because of their disastrous radical left-wing policies.

Democrat Poll Numbers — **Political cartoon by A.F. Branco ©2022**

A.F. Branco has taken his two greatest passions, (art and politics) and translated them into cartoons that have been popular all over the country, in various news outlets including “Fox News”, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, and “The Washington Post.” He has been recognized by such personalities as Dinesh D’Souza, James Woods, Sarah Palin, Larry Elder, Lars Larson, Rush Limbaugh, and President Donald Trump.

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Poll: Democratic Party Has Lowest Net Favorability Rating Compared to Eight Other Political Figures and Institutions

REPORTED BY KAY SMYTHE, REPORTER | May 16, 2022

San,Francisco,,Ca,-,August,23,,2019:,Speaker,Of,The — **Shutterstock/DemocraticParty**

The Democratic Party has the lowest net favorability rating when compared to eight other political figures and institutions, according to an NBC News poll released Monday. Fifty percent of adult respondents to the NBC News poll reported having negative feelings about the Democratic Party, with only 31% saying they have positive feelings — a 19 percentage point net-negative rating. Just above the Democratic Party, with 48% total negative feelings, was Vice President Kamala Harris, according to the poll. (RELATED: Pelosi Says Biden Polls Poorly Because Americans Simply Don’t Know How Good He’s Been)

The new NBC News poll measured 9 different political figures and institutions.

The most unpopular — in terms of net fav/unfav? The Democratic Party https://t.co/oIDoPoqmyw pic.twitter.com/uGhMBFl0nA
— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) May 16, 2022

Almost 80% of the poll respondents were registered voters, which NBC stated is another warning sign for the Democrats as they head into the 2022 midterm elections. The results are the highest net-negative rating the Democratic Party has seen in 30 years of the survey being conducted, NBC reported.

The Democratic Party and Harris were ranked alongside Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Disney, Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, the Supreme Court, the Republican Party, and former Presidents Joe Biden and Donald Trump, respectively. One thousand adults took part in the May poll, with 750 respondents being interviewed by cell phone. The margin of error is + or – 3.10%. The poll was conducted by Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies.

Americans Aren’t Buying Biden’s Tale Of Economic Recovery https://t.co/jOZJmn48A3
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) April 28, 2022

The poll also revealed that cost of living, jobs and the economy are the top concerns for Americans. Another poll found in March that Latino support for the Democratic Party was failing as inflation and the economy became a core concern for the demographic.

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NBC News anchor warns Democrats face ‘shellacking’ in 2022 midterm elections, admits Biden has ‘lost his identity’

Reported by CHRIS ENLOE | January 23, 2022

NBC News anchor Chuck Todd warned Sunday that Democrats could face a “shellacking” in the 2022 midterm elections. Reacting to a grim new NBC News survey, the “Meet the Press” host admitted that President Joe Biden’s perception is quickly sinking and warned that Democrats could lose big time in the 2022 midterm elections. According to Todd, Biden needs “a reset” because he has “lost his identity.”

“He’s no longer seen as competent and effective, no longer seen as a good commander in chief or — perhaps most damaging — as easy going and likable,” Todd said. “In fact, just five percent of adults say Mr. Biden has performed better than expected as president — one of the many lowests, firsts, and fewests in our poll.”

Todd then turned to Biden’s job approval as indicated by the poll, which stands at just 43%.

“If you look at history, history shows that kind of presidential approval rating leads to a shellacking for the party in power,” Todd observed.

But even worse, the poll indicated that 72% of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. Todd explained that metric spells even more bad news for Democrats if they hope to maintain their control of Congress in November.

“Right now our wrong track — nation’s on the wrong track number — sitting at 72%, second poll in a row where we’ve been over 70%. This is only the third time in our poll’s history over 30 years where we’ve had two tracks that off,” Todd explained. “That again would put you in shellacking territory for the party in power.”

NBC’s Chuck Todd: After Disastrous First Year, Biden “No Longer Seen As Competent, Effective” www.youtube.com

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Democrats Whip Up Fear Of ‘Rigged’ Midterm Elections

Reported by MICHAEL GINSBERG | CONGRESSIONAL REPORTER | January 17, 2022

US-VOTE-MICHIGAN — **(Photo by JEFF KOWALSKY/AFP via Getty Images)**

With Democratic Sens. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona refusing to eliminate the filibuster and pass a pair of election reform bills, Democratic politicians are claiming that Republicans will prevent fair midterm elections in November.

The two bills, the Freedom to Vote Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act, would effectively nationalize elections by preventing states and locales from setting limits on absentee ballots, prohibiting ballot harvesting and changing polling locations without federal approval, among other changes. Democrats claim that these changes are necessary to prevent local Republicans from engaging in voter suppression and throwing out validly cast ballots.

President Joe Biden cast opponents of the bills as the heirs of segregationists, and laws requiring voter ID and banning line-warming as “Jim Crow 2.0.” He also claimed that individuals who support the stricter ID standards “plan to subvert the election.”

“History has never been kind to those who’ve sided with voter suppression over voters’ rights, and it will be even less kind for those who side with election subversion,” the commander-in-chief said. “Do you want to be on the side of Dr. King or George Wallace? The side of John Lewis or Bull Connor? The side of Abraham Lincoln or Jefferson Davis?” he asked.

ATLANTA, GA – JANUARY 11: U.S. President Joe Biden speaks to a crowd at the Atlanta University Center Consortium, part of both Morehouse College and Clark Atlanta University on January 11, 2022 in Atlanta, Georgia. Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris delivered remarks on voting rights legislation. Georgia has been a focus point for voting legislation after the state voted Democratic for the first time in almost 30 years in the 2020 election. As a result, the Georgia House passed House Bill 531 to limit voting hours, drop boxes, and require a government ID when voting by mail. (Photo by Megan Varner/Getty Images)

House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn of South Carolina defended Biden’s remarks, while questioning whether Biden’s critics had the personal experience necessary to understand his comments.

“This is Jim Crow 2.0. That was one of the strongest points of the president’s speech that I agree with. So, this whole notion, when you walk around and no one has ever discriminated against you because of your skin color or you have never had to worry about having your vote counted, you can have those kinds of statements,” he said.

During her Martin Luther King Jr. Day address, Vice President Kamala Harris asserted that opponents of the legislation wish “to interfere with our elections, to get the outcomes they want and to discredit those they do not.”

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer added that Republicans want to “rig the game and rig the count,” when it comes to elections, so a compromise position such as reforming the Electoral Count Act would be unacceptable to his caucus.

“If you’re going to rig the game and then say, ‘count the rigged game accurately,’ what good is that?” he asked during a Jan. 4 press conference.

Top Democrats have made these claims as polls and analysts suggest that Republicans are likely to take back the House and Senate by wide margins in the November midterms. A poll released Monday by Gallup found that Americans were more likely to support the Republican Party than the Democratic Party towards the end of 2021 than at any point since 1995, a year after the GOP netted 54 House and eight Senate seats.

Other polls have indicated that voters prefer generic Republican candidates to generic Democratic ones by as many as eight percentage points, with independents breaking sharply for Republicans.

Republicans need to pick up only five House seats and one Senate seat to win back both chambers, while the president’s party has on average lost 26 seats in the midterm elections conducted since the end of World War II, according to FiveThirtyEight. The only midterm elections in which the president’s party did not lose seats were 1998, as Republicans impeached former President Bill Clinton, and 2002, in the aftermath of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

Many Democrats assailed Republicans for equally baseless claims about the 2020 elections, while saying that Americans should not question the security and fairness of elections.

After Republican Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley cited “allegations of voter fraud” in his announcement that he would object to the Electoral College certification of Joe Biden’s victory, Democratic Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar accused him of “join[ing] a coup attempt.”

Biden accused Hawley and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz of being “part of the big lie” after they objected to the Electoral College certification.

“Goebbels and the great lie, you keep repeating the law, repeating the lie,” Biden said, name-checking Adolf Hitler’s chief propagandist.

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5 Historical Trends That Show It’s Utterly Shocking If Trump Lost In 2020

If I told you an incumbent president had 52 percent approval on Election Day and ended up winning 10 million more votes than during his first election, would you predict victory? What if 56 percent of voters felt they were better off since the president had entered office? What if you knew that the incumbent had a nearly 30 percent enthusiasm edge over his opponent, or that when asked for whom they thought their neighbors were voting, nearly 10 percent more Americans expected the president to be re-elected than to lose?

With those numbers in mind, wouldn’t you feel pretty confident that the sitting president had, indeed, been re-elected? Alternatively, wouldn’t you consider it an amazing feat if, instead, the president’s challenger was victorious? The improbability of that result should be newsworthy all on its own.

Donald Trump has majority approval. Nearly six in 10 Americans feel better off today than when Barack Obama was in office, and 15 percent more voters pulled the lever for his re-election than in his 2016 victory. These are not the numbers of a losing candidate, yet we’re told Joe Biden managed to prevail.

The media and pollsters, of course, predicted a Biden landslide, not a very narrow squeaker in which Democrats lost in almost every other avenue of government. Considering the following five facts about the election, it’s no wonder Biden failed to achieve a landslide victory.

1. 10 Million More Votes

Not since President Grover Cleveland’s re-election campaign in 1888 has a sitting president won more votes the second time around and still lost, which is one reason he successfully ran again four years later. To put this in perspective, Obama lost 5 million votes between his 2008 and 2012 elections. He is the only president to have lost voters and still won re-election.

By comparison, Trump not only added about 10 million votes to his 2016 haul but also shattered the record for most votes received by a sitting president. Trump won a greater share of minority votes than any Republican presidential candidate since 1960 and brought more Democrats over to his side than in 2016. More than nine in 10 evangelical Christians voted to re-elect the president. For Trump to expand his coalition of voters so substantially and still lose is historic.

2. 56 Percent of Americans Better Off Than in 2016

This is a huge number. According to Gallup, only 32 percent of Americans say they aren’t better off since Trump was inaugurated. No sitting president has lost re-election when more than half of the country is doing better than before the incumbent entered office.

In fact, Obama, George W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan all won re-election, even though only about 45 percent of the country felt better off than when their presidencies had begun. For Biden to have won the election, despite nearly six in 10 Americans doing well under the current president, is noteworthy. It simply has never happened before.

Part of the reason for Americans’ strong sense of being better off under Trump surely stems from the unprecedented prosperity Americans were experiencing until this past spring when the Chinese coronavirus stopped the world’s economies. Under the president, minority unemployment had reached record lows, and minority wealth savings had reached record highs. At the same time, the stock market had risen to all-time record highs. In other words, the Trump economy was benefiting Americans at all economic levels.

After the pandemic caused an election-year recession, the economy has steadily rebounded since summer. Unemployment has already dropped back below 7 percent, much faster than many economists thought possible, and the stock market is back to its pre-pandemic highs.

In the past, the performance of the S&P 500 in the three months before Americans head to the polls has predicted 87 percent of elections since 1928 and 100 percent since 1984. If the S&P is in positive territory by the end of those three months, the incumbent party almost always wins. On the last trading day in July, the S&P 500 closed at 3,271, was up nearly 7 percent by mid-October, and closed at 3,310 on the Monday before the 2020 election. The market predicted a Trump victory.

3. Nearly 30 Percent Enthusiasm Gap Favoring Trump

In June, during the middle of the pandemic, pollster Scott Rasmussen was blown away by the enthusiasm gap between Trump and Biden voters. He wrote in amazement: “Wow! 76 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 49 percent of Biden voters.”

This enthusiasm gap, measured consistently as somewhere between 15 and 30 percent, was picked up by many pollsters. Richard Baris, the director of Big Data Poll, told the New York Post in mid-October that enthusiasm for Trump “is historically high,” while “Biden’s enthusiasm level is historically low.”

Anyone who saw a Trump rally would not be surprised. At one of his last campaign stops before Election Day, about 60,000 Trump supporters showed up to see the president in Butler, Pennsylvania. Trump tractor parades, boat parades, and 30-mile-long highway caravans have been a common feature of the 2020 campaign.

Republican support for the president has been higher than for any president of either party since Dwight D. Eisenhower. Until Biden’s presumed victory, no incumbent president winning so handily in voter enthusiasm had lost re-election.

4. More People Thought Neighbors Were Voting for Trump

Just as in 2016, polling this election cycle proved decisively wrong. Republicans in the House, Senate, and state legislatures across the country all out-performed polling estimates. Pollsters consistently predicted a Biden blowout, but instead, the race is one of the closest in American history.

Pollsters have partially excused their efforts by pointing to a “shy Trump voter” error in the polls that failed to capture the president’s true support. To get around this problem, some pollsters asked respondents to name the candidate for whom they believed their neighbors would likely vote, hoping to elicit more candid voting intentions.

By a 7 percentage-point margin, Harvard/Harris polling found in late September that more Americans believed their neighbors would vote for Trump’s re-election than for Biden. In the week before the election, USC Dornsife published a poll asking a similar question: “Do you think your friends and neighbors are voting for Trump?” USC concluded that “it’s looking like an Electoral College loss for Biden.”

5. Trump Still Has 53 Percent Approval

Just 12 days before the election, Trump’s approval rating popped over 50 percent and has held steady since that time. As Gallup noted, “[A]ll incumbents with an approval rating of 50 percent or higher have won re-election, and presidents with approval ratings much lower than 50 percent have lost.” Rasmussen and Zogby both had Trump hitting that “holy grail” approval number tied to certain re-election.

On the day before the election, Rasmussen had Trump at 52 percent approval. At the same point in his presidency, and before his own re-election, Obama had 50 percent. As of Nov. 11, Rasmussen shows 53 percent of the country approves of Trump, compared to 46 percent who disapprove. No incumbent president has ever lost re-election with numbers such as these.

All of these numbers have historically contributed to a victory for an incumbent president. Considering them, it’s no surprise Biden didn’t win in a landslide, but that they did not produce a win for Trump in 2020 is almost unbelievable.

J.B. Shurk is a proud American from Daniel Boone country.

Photo The White House/Flickr

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WATCH: L.A. Times ‘Undecided’ Focus Group Chooses Trump After Last Debate

Reported by JOEL B. POLLAK | 22 Oct 2020

Frank Luntz (Andrew Caballero – Reynolds / AFP / Getty)

A focus group of “undecided voters” convened by pollster Frank Luntz for the Los Angeles Times chose President Donald Trump overwhelmingly after watching the final debate of the presidential election on Thursday night.

Though many participants complained about Trump’s “personality” in general, many also felt he had been more “presidential” on the night. And many complained that Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden seemed vague and elusive in his answers.

Some voters expressed feelings of guilt in admitting they would vote for Trump, but said they simply could not trust Biden to do the job. One said that his age was a concern; another said that voting for Biden felt like voting for an “idea,” since he seemed unlikely to be running his own administration.

Another undecided voter said that he felt that Trump had shown, at least, what he could do over the past four years.

Luntz ended the discussion after asking participants whom they would choose, after watching the debate. Of the eight “undecided” voters he asked, seven chose Trump and one still seemed undecided.

Watch the full event at the Los Angeles Times.

A CNN poll of debate watchers gave the win to Biden by 14 points

That was considerably narrower than the margin in CNN’s poll of the first debate, which gave Biden a 32-point win.

Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News and the host of Breitbart News Sunday on Sirius XM Patriot on Sunday evenings from 7 p.m. to 10 p.m. ET (4 p.m. to 7 p.m. PT). His newest e-book is The Trumpian Virtues: The Lessons and Legacy of Donald Trump’s Presidency. His recent book, RED NOVEMBER, tells the story of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary from a conservative perspective. He is a winner of the 2018 Robert Novak Journalism Alumni Fellowship. Follow him on Twitter at @joelpollak.

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New National Poll of Likely Voters Shows Donald Trump Leading Joe Biden, 46%-45%

Published Oct 4, 2020 | By Richard Moorhead

URL of the originating web site: https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-national-poll-of-likely-voters-shows-donald-trump-leading-joe-biden-46-45/

A new poll from the Democracy Institute and the UK’s Daily Express reveals that President Donald Trump is leading Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, with a lead of 46% to 45% over the former Vice President.

The poll was conducted after the news of President Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis was revealed. 68% of voters said the disease would not effect their vote. 19% said that it made them more likely to support the President, and 13% of voters said it would make them less likely to do so.

The Democracy Institute poll differs from surveys conducted by corporate mainstream media outlets in that it seeks to query what it defines as “likely voters,” as opposed to all registered voters, some of whom simply don’t end up voting in the election. The poll also accounts for what it describes as ‘shy voters-‘ revealing that 77% of Trump supporters are not inclined to admit their political preferences to some of their friends and family members.

Winning the popular vote would almost assuredly deliver President Trump a whopping electoral college victory, with the poll estimating he would capture 320 electoral college votes if the poll results were concisely accurate. Many conservative voters in reliably blue states such as New York and California don’t vote.

Curiously, “law and order” is the most pressing political issue in the minds of voters in the poll, with 32% of Americans identifying it as the most important issue in the election. This would certainly bode well for Trump’s electoral prospects, as Joe Biden has consistently refused to condemn the criminal ANTIFA and Black Lives Matter riot movements.

NBC also released a methodologically slanted poll on Sunday, sampling a whopping 45% Democrats to claim that Biden was leading Trump by 14%. The electorate of the 2016 voting population was just above 30% Democrat, suggesting NBC’s poll is little more than political fantasy.

Americans Just Sent Democrats a Loud and Clear Message About Impeachment: Don’t Do It

Reported By Karista Baldwin | Published April 28, 2019 at 8:01am

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/ct/americans-just-sent-democrats-loud-clear-message-impeachment-dont/

Democratic leaders are in a tough spot as their base pushes for the president’s impeachment while most Americans oppose it.

A recent Washington Post/ABC News poll found that the majority of Americans are against impeaching the president following the publication of special counsel Robert Mueller’s report. According to the poll, around 37 percent of Americans are pro-impeachment, a slightly lower figure than last month. Meanwhile, 56 percent of Americans oppose impeachment.

Breaking the results into parties: 62 percent of Democrats responded to the poll in support of impeachment, while 87 percent of Republican respondents opposed to it. Among independents, 36 percent support impeaching the president, showing a drop in the group’s support for impeachment since before the release of the Mueller report, according to January’s Washington Post/ABC News poll. Poll respondents who strongly oppose impeachment also outnumber those who strongly support, with strong opposition at 49 percent and strong support at 29 percent.

According to ABC News, this shows a 10-point rise since August in those strongly opposed to impeachment. It also reflects an 11-point decrease since August in those strongly in favor of impeachment.

The results reveal a dilemma for Democratic politicians at the moment: keeping their increasingly leftist base happy without alienating the majority of Americans who are against impeachment. The impeachment issue has already shown itself to be divisive within the Democratic party. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris, both Democratic presidential nominee contenders, are placing their bets on pro-impeachment voters. Both senators have publicly urged Congress to initiate impeachment proceedings against Trump.

“I believe Congress should take the steps towards impeachment,” Harris said, reported by CNN. “I believe that we need to get rid of this President.”

Warren has also taken a firm stance in support of impeaching Trump.

“The severity of this misconduct demands that elected officials in both parties set aside political considerations and do their constitutional duty,” Warren wrote on Twitter last week. “That means the House should initiate impeachment proceedings against the President of the United States.”

Meanwhile, old-school Democratic Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has taken it upon herself do damage control for her party. Her more pragmatic approach to impeachment has shown itself to be at odds with her younger Democratic colleagues.

“Impeachment is so divisive to the country that unless there’s something so compelling and overwhelming and bipartisan, I don’t think we should go down that path, because it divides the country,” Pelosi told The Washington Post in March. “And he’s just not worth it.”

The public’s views on impeachment may be backing Democrats into a lose-lose situation. While Pelosi is working to appeal to the largest group of Americans on the issue of impeachment, she’s risking angering more leftist Democrats.

And while Harris and Warren cite the Mueller report as grounds for impeachment, 58 percent of Americans say that the results of the report had no effect on their view of the Trump administration, according to the Washington Post/ABC poll. In fact, 46 percent of the poll respondents said they won’t be taking the report into consideration when they vote in the 2020 presidential election.

Democratic nominee hopefuls may have to choose between upsetting their more extreme leftist supporters or alienating the general populace, who obviously aren’t eager to initiate impeachment. Either way could cost Democratic contenders their party’s nomination.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Karista Baldwin

Contributor, Commentary

Summary

Today’s TWO Politically INCORRECT Cartoons by A.F. Branco

A.F. Branco Cartoon – Glass Housewife

A.F. Branco | on April 25, 2019 at 7:40 am | https://comicallyincorrect.com/a-f-branco-cartoon-glass-housewife/

Hillary, who actually colluded with Russians (Dossier), smashed phones, hide 30,000 emails, the Uranium Deal, Pay to Play and the Clinton Foundation, and Bleach Bit her illegal private server, Says Trump should be indicted for charges he’s been cleared on.

A.F. Branco Cartoon – Recyclable

A.F. Branco | on April 26, 2019 at 7:40 am | https://comicallyincorrect.com/a-f-branco-cartoon-recyclable/

Joe Biden is enjoying good poll numbers right after launching his candidacy for President, possibly the same polls Hillary used in 2016.

More A.F. Branco Cartoons at The Daily Torch.

Branco’s Faux Children’s Book “APOCALI” ORDER HERE

Donations/Tips accepted and appreciated – $1.00 – $5.00 – $10 – $100 – it all helps to fund this website and keep the cartoons coming. – THANK YOU!

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Should incarcerated criminals have the right to vote?

A.F. Branco has taken his two greatest passions, (art and politics) and translated them into the cartoons that have been popular all over the country, in various news outlets including “Fox News”, MSNBC, CBS, ABC and “The Washington Post.” He has been recognized by such personalities as Dinesh D’Souza, James Woods, Sarah Palin, Larry Elder, Lars Larson, the great El Rushbo, and has had his toons tweeted by President Trump.

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12 Times Florida County’s Elections Supervisor Has Been ‘Incompetent and Possibly Criminal’

Authored By Luke Rosiak | November 9, 2018 at 9:55am

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/12-times-florida-countys-elections-supervisor-has-been-incompetent-and-possibly-criminal/

Dr. Brenda Snipes, Broward County Supervisor of Elections, left, looks on with an unidentified elections official during a canvassing board meeting on November 10, 2018 in Lauderhill, Florida. Three close midtern election races for governor, senator, and agriculture commissioner are expected to be recounted in Florida. (Photo by Joe Skipper / Getty Images)

“This is at a minimum a pattern of incompetence. Voters deserve better,” the Florida Republican said Thursday on “Tucker Carlson Tonight.”

“This is not even a partisan thing. This is a county that apparently cannot even count votes as well as a county that just got wiped out by a hurricane.”

The state’s Republican Gov. Rick Scott filed a lawsuit Thursday against Broward election supervisor Brenda Snipes for allegedly refusing to tell them about votes she has not yet counted. The vote totals Snipes tabulated two days after the election would have readers believe that more people cast votes for agricultural commissioner than for U.S. Senator.

Additionally, lawyer Marc Elias of Perkins Coie — who hired Fusion GPS for the Democratic National Committee to investigate Donald Trump during the 2016 presidential election — has been hired to litigate a recount on behalf of Democrats.

The Republican National Committee also pointed out 12 times news stories using its own headlines where Snipes has “been outright incompetent and possibly criminal”:

1 — Illegally destroying ballots (Sun Sentinel, May 14, 2018)

2 — Absentee ballots that never arrived (Miami Herald, November 6, 2018)

3 — Fellow Democrats accused her precinct of individual and systemic breakdowns that made it difficult for voters to cast regular ballots (Miami Herald, November 4, 2014)

4 — Posted election results half an hour before polls closed – a very clear violation of election law. (Miami Herald, November 2, 2018)

5 — Sued for leaving amendments off of ballots (Miami Herald, October 20, 2016)

6 — Claiming to not have the money to notify voters when their absentee ballot expired (Sun Sentinel, November 8, 2018)

7 — Having official staffers campaign on official time (Broward Beat, July 20, 2016)

8 — Problems printing mail ballots (Miami Herald, November 2, 2018)

9 — Accusations of ballot stuffing (Heritage, August 1, 2017)

10 — Voters receiving ballots with duplicate pages (Miami Herald, November 2, 2018)

11 — Slow results and piles of ballots that cropped up way after Election Day (The Capitolist, November 8, 2018)

12 — Opening ballots in private, breaking Florida law (Politico, August 13, 2018)

A version of this article appeared on The Daily Caller News Foundation website.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

The Daily Caller News Foundation

Founded by Tucker Carlson, a 25-year veteran of print and broadcast media, and Neil Patel, former chief policy adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney, The Daily Caller News Foundation is a 501(c)(3) non-profit providing original investigative reporting from a team of professional reporters that operates for the public benefit.

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Armed with Assault Rifles, Black Panthers March for Stacey Abrams

Reported By Jason Hopkins | November 4, 2018 at 10:11am

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/black-panthers-march-stacey-abrams/

Members of the Black Panther Party marched through the city of Atlanta, strapped with assault rifles and brandishing Stacey Abrams campaign signs. In a video posted on the group’s Facebook page on Saturday, members of the Black Panther Party are seen marching through the West End neighborhood of Atlanta in support of Stacey Abrams gubernatorial campaign. As they marched, the Black Panthers carried assault rifles and continually shouted slogans such as “black power” and “power to the people.”

The video shows the panthers marching for nearly 30 minutes through the city of Atlanta until they enter a local radio station.

When reached for comment by The Daily Caller News Foundation, the Abrams campaign forwarded a statement from spokeswoman Abigail Collazo. Her statement did not specifically address the Panthers’ march, but instead attacked Kemp.

“Brian Kemp is the only candidate in this race who has posed for pictures with supporters wearing racist, hate-filled t-shirts and refused to denounce them, while Abrams continues to condemn any racist, anti-Semitic, or otherwise discriminatory words and actions,” Collazo said.

“Unlike Kemp, Abrams is a leader committed to running an inclusive campaign focused on bringing all Georgians together to find bold solutions on critical issues like health care, education, and the economy,” she continued.

At one point during the march, someone driving a vehicle stopped momentarily to speak to the Panthers.

One of the members can be heard saying afterward: “You need to march in your neighborhood. When we was (sic) in West Virginia, 99 percent crackers, stone cold crackers.”

Kemp’s campaign called on Abrams to immediately denounce the Black Panthers.

“It’s no surprise that militant Black Panthers are armed and patrolling the streets of Georgia for Stacey Abrams. The Black Panthers are a radical hate group with a racist and anti-semitic agenda. They are dangerous and encourage violence against our men and women in uniform,” Kemp spokesman Ryan Mahoney said in a statement to TheDCNF.

“Stacey Abrams should immediately denounce the Black Panthers and their hateful record of racism,” he continued. “She should stand against and condemn their attempts to intimidate hardworking Georgia voters just days before the election.”

The close race has brought star power from both sides of the aisle. Vice President Mike Pence campaigned for Kemp on Thursday — the same day Oprah Winfrey knocked on doors on behalf of Abrams.

The Panthers did not respond to a request for comment by TheDCNF.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

The Daily Caller News Foundation

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Dick Morris: Trump’s Base Returns in Nick of Time

Opinion By Dick Morris | October 22, 2018 at 10:53am

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/dick-morris-trumps-base-returns-nick-time/

The voters who elected Donald Trump in 2016 are returning to him just as the midterms approach. With their help, Trump has recorded his highest job approval in the WSJ/NBC poll since he took office — 47 percent.

But the real story is behind the numbers. Trump’s base — white non-college voters (38 percent of the country) is rallying to his candidates just as they did in the closing weeks of 2017. According to a Fox News poll, the only one that measures white non-college voters as a discrete group, Trump’s approval has surged among these folks.

In August 2016, his margin of approval over disapproval was only 11 points (54-43). By September, it had risen to a 17 point margin (57-40).

In their latest poll, Oct. 13-16, it surged to a 21 point margin (60-39).

These voters are coming home.

This base lives in a place that is a blind spot for the mainstream media. It doesn’t really know that these voters exist. They live away from the West Coast and outside of the Northeast. They haven’t been to college. And they are white. The failure to measure their changing opinions is responsible for the media’s error in predicting a Hillary Clinton victory in 2016 — and they haven’t changed their methodology since.

Trump’s base hides in plain sight during the bulk of the year. Estranged from the political process, they don’t follow it closely except when their man is in danger and summons them forth. That’s why the GOP did not do as well in the special elections of the past two years as Trump had hoped. But when the national fireball rings, they wake up and respond.

The controversy over the Kavanaugh nomination and the phony stories of sexual abuse energized the sleeping giant and motivated the voters to return to the Trump banner. Since, by emphasizing the immigration issue and the caravan arriving from Central America, he has held their attention.

The national polling is slow to pick them up on its radar. While their participation and increasing enthusiasm shows up quickly in the national job approval polling, it is slower to make its impact felt in the less frequent polling of the nation’s Senate races. The House polling, less frequent still, takes even longer to manifest their participation, but they are there, moving the needle.

The views expressed in this opinion article are those of their author and are not necessarily either shared or endorsed by the owner of this website.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Dick Morris

Dick Morris is a former adviser to President Bill Clinton as well as a political author, pollster and consultant. His most recent book, “Rogue Spooks,” was written with his wife, Eileen McGann.

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Gallup Poll Disaster for Media: Concern Over Russia Ranked 33rd

Reported By Benjamin Arie | July 19, 2018 at 2:07pm

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/ct/gallup-poll-disaster-media-concern-over-russia-ranked-33rd/

The mainstream media is horribly out of touch with the American people.

That’s the best conclusion that can be drawn after a new poll from the well-respected Gallup organization revealed that despite wall-to-wall coverage and liberal hand-wringing over Trump and Russia, voters just aren’t that bothered.

Over the last week, much ink was spilled over President Donald Trump’s meeting with Vladimir Putin, the controversial leader of Russia.

Both mainstream and left-leaning outlets — can anybody tell them apart? — tried desperately to paint the diplomatic visit as a blunder for Trump, and tried to tie it to a larger narrative of Russia influencing the 2016 election while controlling Trump.

That claim is not proven, and is flimsy at best. Still, the old guard media flew into a tizzy. Time Magazine morphed the faces of Putin and Trump into one on its latest cover, not-so-subtly implying that the former KGB agent and New York billionaire were one and the same.

Other voices implied that Trump was a traitor who needed to resign or be forcibly removed from office for, er, acting as the chief diplomat and meeting with a powerful country on neutral ground.

The media hysteria over phantom Trump-Russia connections goes back to the 2016 election, but there’s one big problem: Americans just aren’t accepting the narrative.

Despite mainstream outlets hammering the Russia angle almost endlessly, voters have basically shrugged and turned their focus to other things.

A recent Gallup poll tells the story. The research group asked a broad sample of Americans what they thought was the “most important problem” facing America today. To the chagrin of liberals, the results are good for Donald Trump, and appallingly bad for the Russian boogeyman narrative.

As of June 2018, the vast majority of citizens named non-economic problems as the most important issues facing the nation. Of those, “dissatisfaction with government” ranked the highest, while “immigration / illegal aliens” was a close second.

Both of those issues potentially bode well for Trump and conservatives in the 2018 and 2020 elections.

And the Russian narrative? It barely made the list. Less than 0.5 percent of respondents to the Gallup poll named “the situation with Russia” as their top concern. A staggering 32 issues, ranging from unemployment to crime, all ranked higher on the list of concerns than Russia.

Now, it should be noted that the recent meeting between Trump and Putin happened after the latest Gallup results were collected. If the Helsinki summit influenced the public’s concern over Russia, it would be reflected on next month’s polling.

With that said, one look at how Americans viewed the Russian problem over the last seven months reveals that they have been largely apathetic to the media narrative and even hysteria on the issue.

Between December 2017 and June 2018, at no point did “the situation with Russia” rise above one percent of responses for the most important issue. Barring some kind of smoking gun evidence linking Trump to the Putin regime, it’s a safe bet that a diplomatic meeting with the Russian president did not suddenly change the minds of voters.

What this shows is that the mainstream media is living in a bubble, and it seems to be getting further removed from reality every day. While they’re wailing about Russia and openly implying that Trump is a traitor to the nation, heartland Americans are seeing through the façade.

In the end, that could be what drives the leftist media most crazy: They’re just not relevant anymore. The American people are doing something much more powerful than fighting the one-sided media narrative. They’re simply ignoring it.

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Pollster Gets Shock Trump Results, Immediately Disavows Own Poll

Reported By Ben Marquis | May 7, 2018 at 8:24am

URL of the original posting site: https://www.westernjournal.com/ct/pollster-shock-results-disavow/

Much has been said and written about the use of polls and polling data over the past few years, particularly as it related to candidate-turned-President Donald Trump and typically in regard to how poll samples are skewed to disfavor him and marginalize his support.

According to Breitbart, a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Friday contained results that were so against the grain of that poll’s usual results that the pollsters actually added in a sort of disclaimer when the results were released, seemingly disavowing the results of their own poll.

The openly stated reason for that disavowal was that the poll showed a sudden spike in support for the president and a number of his policies over the most recent polling period.

That would be the latest weekly approval numbers compiled by the Reuters/Ipsos polling team, which placed Trump’s approval rating at 48 percent and disapproval at 49 percent among all adults — with a 49-49 tie among registered voters — for the period of April 27-May 1, a significant uptick in approval over the prior week’s results.

That sudden surge in Trump’s approval compelled the pollsters to preface their report with an explanation that cast the shocking results as an outlier they refused to accept as reality, but would report to the public nonetheless.

“This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political release presents something of an outlier of our trend,” cautioned the pollsters. “Every series of polls has the occasional outlier and in our opinion this is one.

“So, while we are reporting the findings in the interest of transparency, we will not be announcing the start of a new trend until we have more data to validate this pattern.”

Interestingly, when Trump’s approval rating was broken down by party line, it showed the president received 20-79 approval versus disapproval among Democrats, 81-18 approval among Republicans and a 51-45 split in his favor among independents.

A breakdown of the issues shows where Trump’s support is strong, as he cleared the 50 percent approval threshold on a number of incredibly important issues, including the economy (57-39), employment and jobs (59-35), dealing with the Islamic State group (58-35) and taxation (52-42).

Even on the hot-button issue of immigration, Trump came out ahead with a rating of 50-47 percent in his favor.

The president was also winning support, albeit with slimmer margins, on the issues of foreign policy (48-45), dealing with Congress (47-46) and international trade (49-43).

On a separate but important note as we approach the midterm elections, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Democrats held only a slight five-point lead over Republicans on the generic Congressional ballot — 39-34 percent — with 14 percent undecided.

Unfortunately for Democrats, while their base was a bit more solid than Republicans in this measure, the poll showed independents leaning more toward the GOP — 22-19 percent — with 19 percent supporting a third party and 31 percent still undecided.

The poll of 1,548 Americans doesn’t appear to be as skewed toward the left as we have seen with other polls. Samples included 556 Democrats, 579 Republicans and 163 independents — though as a whole the respondents appeared to identify slightly more as Democrat than Republican.

If the Reuters/Ipsos poll is truly an outlier, we’ll know for sure in another week or two if those numbers remain reverse dramatically.

That said, there is no denying that Trump has recently been gaining steam — particularly in regard to the economy, jobs and potential peace with North Korea, to say nothing of a possible “Kanye bump” — so much so that even the pollsters have to admit that more Americans view Trump as “winning” than they would have imagined.

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More Politically INCORRECT Cartoons for February 27, 2018

california dems moving further left dueling memos economy up polls down hollywoods answer to gun violence is to create more movies with gun violence russia with hillary we need toban forks what a kook why cant we protect our schools

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BREAKING: The MOST ACCURATE POLL In Last 3 Election Cycles Makes SHOCKING Prediction

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Trump Takes The Lead In Major National Poll

November 1, 2016 By Robert Gehl

URL of the original posting site: http://thefederalistpapers.org/us/trump-takes-the-lead-in-major-national-poll

Leftists are simply getting sick and tired of Hillary Clinton. What the media used to call “strong enthusiasm” for Hillary has plummeted since the FBI’s announcement of the continuing email investigation.

What does that mean? Trump is now up in the polls. A new ABC/Washington Post tracking poll shows 46 percent of likely voters support Donald Trump compared to 45 percent for Clinton. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson now has 3 percent support (a new low) while Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 2 percent.

The poll is actually even closer than one percent. Taking it to the decimal, as ABC reports, Trump has a zero-point-seven percent advantage.

These results are a two-point switch for the candidates since one day earlier and a dramatic change from one week ago. On Oct. 23, Clinton enjoyed a 50 percent lead over Trump’s 38 percent.

When asked how enthusiastic voters were about their candidate, Clinton fares much worse. On Oct. 22, 52 percent of Clinton supporters were enthusiastic about their candidate compared to 49 percent of Trump supporters. Now, 53 percent of Trump supporters are enthusiastic and only 45 percent of Clinton voters feel that way.

This poll is unique also because they asked a significantly larger number of Democrats than Republicans. “Partisan divisions are 38-28-29 percent Democrats-Republicans-independents.”

Nationally, there are a few more self-identified Democrats than Republicans, but the numbers hardly break that far to the left. And Independent voters are impossible to measure, since there is no “independent” presidential candidate.”

This is a close race, but vote preference even one week out is not necessarily indicative of election results. In the 2012 race, Romney was ahead of Obama by one point and President Obama went on to win by four percentage points.

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POLL: San Diego Residents Willing To Pay $4,000 Extra In Taxes To Deport Illegals

By Robert Gehl

URL of the original posting site: http://www.thefederalistpapers.org/us/poll-san-diego-residents-willing-to-pay-4000-extra-in-taxes-to-deport-illegals

If you buy the liberal media narrative that immigration is somehow a divisive issue, think again. A new poll done in San Diego shows an overwhelming majority of residents would support a massive tax increase if it would be spent deporting illegal aliens.

The survey shows more than four in five respondents would pay an additional $4,000 per taxpayer to “deport America’s illegal immigrants.” Only fewer than three in ten said they would not.

Equally telling: 54 percent agree that “people who have entered the United States without proper documentation” should be deported, while only one-third say they shouldn’t.

When it comes to the presidential election, 47 percent side with Donald Trump’s approach, while only 37 percent believe Hillary’s immigration approach is best.

These numbers are huge for Trump and Republicans. If it can be extrapolated to the rest of the country, the GOP has a huge advantage on this issue in November.

Another equally telling number: 48 percent say that all immigrants – including children born in the United States – should be deported.

The numbers don’t break down by race or ethnicity the way the media would have you believe either. When asked which candidate has the better plan, 53 percent of blacks and 50 percent of Hispanics support Trump’s plan, while only 30 percent of either group support Hillary’s plan. That means that blacks and Hispanics support Trump’s plan in greater margins than whites.

As The American Mirror reports, San Diego County is not a traditionally conservative area. Barack Obama won the county over Mitt Romney in 2012 by almost eight percent.

The poll was conducted on June 23 and has a margin of error of 4.1 to 6.8 percentage points.

The media narrative is that Trump is alienating minorities – particularly Hispanics – with his promise to build a “big beautiful wall” to keep out illegal immigrants from Mexico and Central America.

The results of this poll could turn that on its head.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Robert Gehl

Robert Gehl is a college professor in Phoenix, Arizona. He has over 15 years journalism experience, including two Associated Press awards. He lives in Glendale with his wife and two young children.

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Poll: Most Would Vote for the GOP Because of Obama

Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/poll-obama-hurting-democrats/2014/08/12/id/588191/#ixzz3ADgvIEnF

Tuesday, 12 Aug 2014 07:36 AM

By Melanie Batley

President Barack Obama’s low approval rating is hurting the chances of congressional Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections, a new poll has found.

According to a McClatchy-Marist poll conducted Aug. 4 of 1,035 adults, 42 percent of voters say their negative views of the president make them more likely to vote for a Republican in November rather than a Democrat.

The poll also found that, for the first time during this election cycle, more people said they’d vote for a Republican than a Democrat for Congress — 43 percent to 38 percent. And the preference for Republicans holds across regions and gender.

“The Democrats are sputtering,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, in a statement.

Obama’s job approval rating is hovering at a near historic low for the poll at 40 percent, comparable to other polls in recent weeks.

The results of the survey mark a significant divergence from voters’ opinions earlier in the year.

In December, the survey found that voters were evenly split in their support for the two major parties, while in February, a majority favored the Democrats by a margin of 2 percent. In April, the public favored Democrats by 6 percent, at 48 percent to 42 percent, the poll noted.

Independents appear to have the most influence on the shifting numbers, offering a 12-point margin of support for Republicans over Democrats, the poll found.

“More people see themselves as independents, and those people seem to have bailed on Obama,” Miringoff said.

Democratic candidates, meanwhile, appear to be aware of the negative effect the president’s approval rating is having on their chances, and are increasingly focusing on issues that traditionally belong to the GOP, according to Politico.

Specifically, many Democrats are discussing issues such as balancing the budget, tax cuts, and border security in their advertising, while failing to mention their party affiliation.

“It’s pretty clear why Democrats would charade as Republicans in districts coast to coast — on every big issue, voters prefer Republicans to Democrats,” Liesl Hickey, the National Republican Congressional Committee’s executive director, told Politico.

“But by portraying themselves as something they are not, these Democrats are playing a dangerous game that is destined to backfire with voters.”

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Could we get some immigrants who can take a poll?

Ann Coulter Letter

http://www.humanevents.com/2014/01/08/could-we-get-some-immigrants-who-can-take-a-poll/

Could we get some immigrants who can take a poll?

By: Ann Coulter 1/8/2014 08:22 PM

With Republicans tying themselves in knots over the Democrats’ destructive, but superficially appealing, demand that unemployment benefits be extended to two and a half years, I return to my suggestion that Republicans stop playing defense and go on offense.

For every issue that MSNBC loves to prattle on about, gloating that it will cost Republicans this or that demographic, there’s an equivalent issue to use against the Democrats. (The difference is: Our proposals would actually be good for the country.)

In addition to my repeated suggestion that Republicans introduce bills to institutionalize the dangerous mentally ill and force the Democrats to defend the right of psychos to crap in libraries and shoot up schools, Republicans should take the public’s side on immigration.

Democrats love to pretend their sucking up to illegals is all upside for them, but that’s because they lie even when taking polls.Liberals will claim that 99 percent of Americans favor national health care after taking a poll that asks: “Do you support Americans being nice to one another?”

WAIT! THAT’S NOT A POLL ABOUT NATIONAL HEALTH CARE!

It’s the same thing. The government providing free health care to everyone is just being nice.

They’ll claim “90 percent of Americans favor banning most guns” based on a poll that asks, “Are you for common sense gun safety or are you against it?”

Similarly, the immigration polls triumphantly brandished by the media ask about positions no one holds, no politician has proposed and no bills would require. Polls are irrelevant if you lie to the people being polled.

Most immigration polls are variations on the one taken by the liberal Brookings Institution last March. Although it has been endlessly cited for allegedly showing that a majority of Americans support amnesty, the poll never asked about amnesty, or any real policy.

Rather, the poll gave respondents only two options, neither of which have been proposed by either political party or are up for a vote anywhere in America.

The options were: “The best way to solve the country’s illegal immigration problem is to secure our borders and arrest and deport all those who are here illegally”;Or:“The best way to solve the country’s illegal immigration problem is to both secure our borders and provide an earned path to citizenship for illegal immigrants already in the U.S.”

Neither of those choices describes the position of anyone on either side of the immigration debate. Amnesty proponents have no intention of either securing the border or making illegals do anything to “earn” citizenship. Meanwhile, not a single amnesty opponent has proposed any program to “arrest and deport” illegals.

But amnesty proponents turn around and cite this fraudulent poll as proof that a majority of Americans support “a path to legalization.”

This is how the left uses polls to manipulate public opinion, rather than find out what it is. They provide the ingredients for today’s political discussion and we’re not allowed to pick any items off the menu.

But can’t I be against amnesty without voting for rounding up illegals at gunpoint?

No substitutions! Look at the menu.

All the “path to legalization” polls play the same trick. Either armed men round up millions of women and children at midnight, put them in leg irons and immediately deport them on stinky buses; or we offer them a “path to legalization” after meeting all sorts of onerous requirements (none of which will ever materialize).

There were loads of promises surrounding Ronald Reagan’s 1986 amnesty, too — such as securing the border, punishing employers who hire illegals and forcing illegals to pay back taxes. Sen. Teddy Kennedy vowed: “We will secure the borders henceforth. We will never again bring forward another amnesty bill like this.” (Those were the good old days when they were willing to call it “amnesty.”)

Obviously, that promise ended up in the same place Mary Jo Kopechne did — underwater and unmentioned.

After the bill passed, then-Rep. Chuck Schumer (Gov. Chris Christie’s current immigration adviser) immediately introduced a bill excusing illegal aliens from having to pay any back taxes at all.

Now, instead of 3 million illegal aliens living here, we have 11 million, salsa is the best-selling condiment in America, and I have to press “one” for English.

We already tried this the nice way. The country gets one mulligan, not two.

An honest poll question would ask:

Do you think people who have knowingly broken our laws to come here illegally with their families since the last amnesty should be rewarded with citizenship, or should they voluntarily go back the same way they came?

An even more honest immigration poll question would ask:

At a time of massive unemployment, do you think people who have knowingly broken our laws and come here illegally with their families since the last amnesty should be rewarded with citizenship, or should they voluntarily go back the same way they came?

Even a poll question that simply omits the lies about the theoretical hurdles illegals will have to clear (which will never happen) produces a poll in which a majority of Americans support “deportation.”

Last year, the TechCrunch website polled this question: “Do you support or oppose deporting the 11 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S.?”

Again: NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT DEPORTATION. We didn’t round up 11 million foreigners to get them here, and we’re not going to round them up to send them home. They’ll leave the same way they came.

But even answering a stacked poll question asking about something no one has proposed — deportation — a majority of respondents, 53.4 percent, supported deportation, compared to 42 percent opposed. Among Republicans, 74.1 percent favored deportation, with only 22.3 percent opposed.

Not only that, but a Fox News poll last year showed that a majority of Americans would like to curtail legal immigration, with 55 percent supporting a decrease in legal immigrants and only 28 percent supporting an increase.

My thought is: Republicans should push policies that are popular.

But instead of proposing immigration reforms that are runaway hits with a majority of Americans — without anyone even having made the argument! — Republicans have been hoodwinked by Democrats into trying to outbid Democrats for the Hispanic vote. They still won’t win the Hispanic vote, but now the rest of the country will hate Republicans, too.

Ann Coulter is author of the new book, Never Trust a Liberal Over Three – Especially a Republican (Regnery 2013).

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Posts tagged ‘Polls’

By Sandy Fitzgerald | Thursday, 24 October 2024, 01:42 PM EDT

Sandy Fitzgerald ✉

Sandy Fitzgerald has more than three decades in journalism and serves as a general assignment writer for Newsmax covering news, media, and politics.

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American Patriot | October 18, 2024

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By Paul Steinhauser Fox News | Published October 8, 2024, 2:00pm EDT

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BY: JUSTIN HASKINS | APRIL 30, 2024

Justin Haskins (Jhaskins@heartland.org) is the director of the Socialism Research Center at The Heartland Institute and a New York Times bestselling author.

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BY: M.D. KITTLE | JANUARY 12, 2024

‘Night and Day’

Big Money, Bigger Stakes

‘Double Forms of Justice’

M.D. Kittle is an award-winning investigative reporter and 30-year veteran of print, broadcast, and online journalism.

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BY: KYLEE GRISWOLD | NOVEMBER 16, 2023

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By Eric Mack | Monday, 25 September 2023 02:07 PM EDT

Eric Mack ✉

Eric Mack has been a writer and editor at Newsmax since 2016. He is a 1998 Syracuse University journalism graduate and a New York Press Association award-winning writer.

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A.F. Branco Cartoon – Head Strong

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BY: VICTORIA MARSHALL | NOVEMBER 07, 2022

Victoria Marshall is a staff writer at The Federalist. Her writing has been featured in the New York Post, National Review, and Townhall. She graduated from Hillsdale College in May 2021 with a major in politics and a minor in journalism. Follow her on Twitter @vemrshll.

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A.F. Branco Cartoon – Dirty Deeds

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REPORTED BY KAY SMYTHE, REPORTER | May 16, 2022

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Reported by CHRIS ENLOE | January 23, 2022

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Reported by MICHAEL GINSBERG | CONGRESSIONAL REPORTER | January 17, 2022

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1. 10 Million More Votes

2. 56 Percent of Americans Better Off Than in 2016

3. Nearly 30 Percent Enthusiasm Gap Favoring Trump

4. More People Thought Neighbors Were Voting for Trump

Just as in 2016, polling this election cycle proved decisively wrong. Republicans in the House, Senate, and state legislatures across the country all out-performed polling estimates. Pollsters consistently predicted a Biden blowout, but instead, the race is one of the closest in American history.

5. Trump Still Has 53 Percent Approval

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A new poll from the Democracy Institute and the UK’s Daily Express reveals that President Donald Trump is leading Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, with a lead of 46% to 45% over the former Vice President.

READ MORE AT https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-national-poll-of-likely-voters-shows-donald-trump-leading-joe-biden-46-45/

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Reported By Karista Baldwin | Published April 28, 2019 at 8:01am

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A.F. Branco Cartoon – Glass Housewife

Hillary, who actually colluded with Russians (Dossier), smashed phones, hide 30,000 emails, the Uranium Deal, Pay to Play and the Clinton Foundation, and Bleach Bit her illegal private server, Says Trump should be indicted for charges he’s been cleared on.

A.F. Branco Cartoon – Recyclable

Joe Biden is enjoying good poll numbers right after launching his candidacy for President, possibly the same polls Hillary used in 2016.

Should incarcerated criminals have the right to vote?

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11 — Slow results and piles of ballots that cropped up way after Election Day (The Capitolist, November 8, 2018)

12 — Opening ballots in private, breaking Florida law (Politico, August 13, 2018)

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Much has been said and written about the use of polls and polling data over the past few years, particularly as it related to candidate-turned-President Donald Trump and typically in regard to how poll samples are skewed to disfavor him and marginalize his support.

A breakdown of the issues shows where Trump’s support is strong, as he cleared the 50 percent approval threshold on a number of incredibly important issues, including the economy (57-39), employment and jobs (59-35), dealing with the Islamic State group (58-35) and taxation (52-42).

Even on the hot-button issue of immigration, Trump came out ahead with a rating of 50-47 percent in his favor.

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Leftists are simply getting sick and tired of Hillary Clinton. What the media used to call “strong enthusiasm” for Hillary has plummeted since the FBI’s announcement of the continuing email investigation.

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If you buy the liberal media narrative that immigration is somehow a divisive issue, think again. A new poll done in San Diego shows an overwhelming majority of residents would support a massive tax increase if it would be spent deporting illegal aliens.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Robert Gehl

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Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/poll-obama-hurting-democrats/2014/08/12/id/588191/#ixzz3ADgvIEnF

Tuesday, 12 Aug 2014 07:36 AM

By Melanie Batley

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Ann Coulter Letter

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