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SHOCKING: Gerrymandering By the Numbers


By: Kevin Jackson | November 5, 2025

Read more at https://theblacksphere.net/2025/11/shocking-gerrymandering-by-the-numbers/

Democrats, ever the lying scumbags I know most of them to be lie about gerrymandering. Without question, Democrats gerrymander more and far worse than Republican-controlled states.

Even RINO former California Governor Arnold Schwarzeneggar called out Gavin Newsom.

Gerrymandering by the numbers

Because of what Schwarzeneggar said, I decided to look at the numbers.

StateTrump Vote %Total SeatsGOP House SeatsRepublican %
AL64.57571.43
AK54.511100.00
AZ52.29666.67
AR64.244100.00
CA38.352917.31
CO43.18450.00
CT41.9500.00
DE41.8100.00
FL56.1282071.43
GA50.714964.29
HI36.5200.00
ID66.922100.00
IL43.517317.65
IN58.69777.78
IA56.244100.00
KS56.54375.00
KY64.56583.33
LA60.26466.67
ME45.4200.00
MD34.18112.50
MA36.0900.00
MI49.713753.85
MN46.78450.00
MS59.04375.00
MO58.58675.00
MT58.422100.00
NE59.433100.00
NV50.64125.00
NH47.8200.00
NJ44.912325.00
NM44.3300.00
NY43.326726.92
NC50.9141071.43
ND67.011100.00
OH55.2151066.67
OK65.155100.00
OR41.06116.67
PA50.3171058.82
RI41.7200.00
SC58.27685.71
SD63.411100.00
TN64.29888.89
TX56.2382565.79
UT59.444100.00
VT32.3100.00
VA46.111545.45
WA39.010220.00
WV70.022100.00
WI49.68675.00
WY71.611100.00

The Analysis

While they rail about how “gerrymandering” is a terrible breach of democracy, the data screams they’ve been pulling the string.

I reviewed the states where Donald Trump’s 2024 popular vote margin diverged meaningfully from the congressional delegation breakdown. I excluded 21 states

  • If the vote margin closely aligned with congressional seats
  • or the state only has 1–3 representatives because a single seat swing in those states creates massive percentage swings

I kept states where the vote margin was meaningfully greater or lesser than the proportional House-seat count. What remained was 29 states where divergence was significant enough to suggest more than mere coincidence.

In those 29 states: Republicans hold an advantage in 17 states, Democrats in 12. If you convert that to actual House-member counts, Democrats have a 36-seat advantage vs. Republicans’ 26-seat advantage. If everything were fair and aligned with Trump’s vote numbers, Republicans would be owed an additional 10 seats. That’s not a minor wiggle—it’s a flashing red light on the scoreboard.

Now, please note: I’m using the official vote counts, which the left conveniently labels “sacred.” But as we all know, that’s the floor—not the ceiling. Millions of illegal votes? We’ll leave that aside for now, because even based on the recorded numbers, Democrats still hold the structural advantage. So when the Democrats yell “gerrymandering!” like they just discovered instant replay, they’re conveniently forgetting the score.


The Myth of Republican ‘Advantage’—Laughed out loud by institutional research

The narrative they want you to swallow: “Republicans are the map-riggers, the bad guys, they draw lines to steal seats.” But real research begs to differ. For instance:

  • The Brennan Center for Justice’s analysis found that, overall in this redistricting cycle, the maps favor Republicans, estimating a GOP advantage of about 16 House seats from map-drawing alone. (Yes, irony alert.) Brennan Center for Justice
  • The Brookings Institution published a piece titled “The gerrymander myth” explaining that it isn’t clear Republicans hold the advantage lately, contrary to the handwringing from the left.

So—let’s pause the hypocrisy: when the left screams “map fraud!”, their own data suggest the system leans against them right now.


Why the left’s whining about disproportionate outcomes is especially funny

They lecture about fairness, equity, “one person, one vote,” while sitting on structural advantages they fought tooth-and-nail to build. Then they limp into courtrooms, framing themselves as victims. Meanwhile, you’re looking at the state-by-state data showing them with a net seat gain just by how the lines were drawn.

Democrats have historically derived structural benefits from map-drawing, incumbency advantages and “safe seats.”

Next, if Republicans are earning 10 more seats by the math alone under these conditions, then in a truly fair map scenario—and ignoring illegal voting concerns—the GOP would be in significantly stronger shape. The Left’s current war-cry (“stop the gerrymanders”) is disingenuous when their own advantage is baked into the system. They didn’t get there by honesty; they got there by shape-shifting the field. In truth, the map-drawing process matters to the final outcome far more than many voters realize.


Pushback: “It’s just geography!”

Right on cue, you’ll hear: “Well, duh, Democrats cluster in cities. That’s why they waste votes.” The Left has loved that one for decades. But:

  • Geographic clustering helps both parties in different states.
  • It also doesn’t absolve party operatives from manipulating map lines.
  • The complexity is real—and when you review studies like those of the ALARM Project at Harvard, you see that while geography plays a role, the partisan-map effect is not negligibleHarvard News
    So yes: geography is part of the story. But it’s only part of the story—and the Left doesn’t get to pick and choose.

Accuse Republicans of what Democrats are Doing

Just when the Democrats thought their narrative was planted deep—it stirs in the wind. For example, Hakeem Jeffries and other left-leaders promote the idea that Republican gerrymandering is the root of the problem. Know why? Because it’s easier to turn the tables than to admit you built the table. They want to deflect.

But the numbers don’t support their claim. The math from actual map-analysis from non-partisan sources shows GOP map-draws dominate in many states right now. The left’s outrage is script-flipped. They don’t get to cast themselves as victims and architects simultaneously and expect to get away with it.


A quick caveat: my analysis is limited—and fair

Let me pause for full transparency:

My numbers exclude the “illegal voting” factor. If millions of illegals cast ballots for Kamala Harris, the real Republican advantage would be larger than the 11 extra seats I estimated.

Map-analysis is messy. Some research finds the net national seat-bias from gerrymandering to be modest. For example, the ALARM Project estimated the pro-Republican bias declined from about 16 seats to 10 seats in the 2020 cycle.

In spite of those limitations—the conservative view holds stronger: the Left built a war-machine, and Republicans are now exposing it. The numbers don’t lie.


Democrats picked this war

And here’s the knockout line: Democrats picked this war. They spent decades stacking districts, building safe-seat pipelines, and erasing competitive races. They let the rigged boards sit until the bill came due. Now that Republicans are analyzing, exposing and pushing back, the Left is squealing about “unfair map terror.” Too late, folks. The game board is flipped.

As we stand on the brink of the next redistricting cycle, let’s remember: the Left has an advantage they refuse to publicly acknowledge, despite the sequencing of math, data and reality. So when they rant about Republicans having a map advantage—check the scoreboard. Because the real cheat sheets belong to them.

Today’s Politically INCORRECT Cartoon by A.F. Branco


Branco Cartoon – Fixing the Fixers

A.F. Branco | on August 7, 2025 | https://comicallyincorrect.com/branco-cartoon-fixing-the-fixers/

Gerrymandering
A Political Cartoon by A.F. Branco 2025

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A.F. Branco Cartoon – Democrats, the masters of gerrymandering, are suddenly outraged over the alleged gerrymandering by Republicans.

BRANCO TOON STORE

Assistant AG Harmeet Dhillon Launches Legal Blitz to Clean Up Voter Rolls and Dismantle Democrat’s ‘Illegal Race-Based Gerrymandering’ — “We’re Making It Easier to Vote and Harder to Cheat”

By Jim Hoft – The Gateway Pundit – Aug 6, 2025

In a powerful video statement released on X, Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon pulled no punches as she announced a sweeping legal crackdown aimed at securing America’s elections and ripping apart the Democrats’ web of gerrymandered districts and bloated voter rolls.
Dhillon, serving under the leadership of President Donald Trump and Attorney General Pam Bondi, declared that her office is taking direct aim at “illegal race-based gerrymandering” and widespread voter roll irregularities that have plagued Democrat strongholds for years… READ MORE

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A.F. Branco has taken his two greatest passions (art and politics) and translated them into cartoons that have been popular all over the country in various news outlets, including NewsMax, Fox News, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, and “The Washington Post.” He has been recognized by such personalities as Rep. Devin Nunes, Dinesh D’Souza, James Woods, Chris Salcedo, Sarah Palin, Larry Elder, Lars Larson, Rush Limbaugh, Elon Musk, and President Trump.

Democrats Pledge a Gerrymander War


By: Jonathan Turley | August 5, 2025

Read more at https://jonathanturley.org/2025/08/05/democrats-pledge-gerrymander-war/

Democrats are struggling to convince the public that they are outraged that there is gerrymandering afoot in Texas. It is no easy task, particularly after Texas Democrats selected Illinois as their sanctuary state, a state considered the most gerrymandered in the country. Trump received 45 percent of the vote in the state, but Republicans have only 14 percent of the congressional seats. Even the New York Times admitted that gerrymandering has favored Democrats across the nation. However, the winner of the Claude Rains award must be Marc Elias, who has expressed disgust over the notion of gerrymandering despite the fact that his group was denounced by courts for outrageous gerrymandering efforts.

The origin of the term was based on re-districting associated with Elbridge Gerry, a Founding Father, vice president, and governor of Massachusetts. He signed off on a district designed to guarantee a seat for the precursor of today’s Democratic Party. The district resembled a salamander, so the Boston Gazette deemed it the “Gerry-mander.”

That effort pales in comparison to what was done in Illinois to deny Republicans a fair share of congressional seats. This is the Illinois map:

The 13th congressional district stretches from East St. Louis to Springfield, 90 miles away. It then takes a sharp turn east to grab Decatur and Champaign. This monstrosity was approved by Democrats who are now insisting that they will respond to Texas with a gerrymander war, as if they were political pacifists until a few days ago.

Illinois Governor JB Pritzker portrayed his party as the victim of conniving pols and pledged to respond in kind. Yet, it was Pritzker who approved the redistricting that guaranteed that, while Republicans represent almost half of the voters, they will receive less than twenty percent of the congressional seats.

The same is true in California, where Governor Gavin Newsom is also pledging to retaliate despite previously engaging in rampant gerrymandering.  Republicans constituted roughly 40 percent of the congressional vote in 2024 but received only about 17 percent of the House seats. Across the country in 17 blue states, the Dems won 56.7 percent of the popular House vote but secured 143 of the 185 House seats — 77.7 percent. New York has achieved that same enhanced democratic representations despite the fact that Trump received 45 percent of the vote. Republicans are confined to a small handful of districts.

I have long opposed gerrymandering by both parties. However, the claims of disgust and outrage by Democrats border on the comical.

(MSNBC/via YouTube)

That brings us to Marc Elias, who is again trying to raise clients and donations off the outrage.

Elias has not only been sanctioned in past litigation, but past courts have also criticized his group. In Maryland,  Elias filed in support of an abusive gerrymandering of the election districts that a court found violated not only Maryland law but the state constitution’s equal protection, free speech and free elections clauses. The court found that the map pushed by Elias “subverts the will of those governed.”

Elias is currently looking at a likely demand for testimony in the new grand jury investigation into the Russian conspiracy. He featured prominently in the filings of Special Counsel John Durham. It was Elias who made the key funding available to Fusion GPS, which in turn enlisted Steele to produce his now discredited dossier on Trump and his campaign. During the campaign, reporters did ask about the possible connection to the campaign, but Clinton campaign officials denied any involvement. Weeks after the election, journalists discovered that the Clinton campaign hid payments for the Steele dossier as “legal fees” among the $5.6 million paid to Perkins Coie.

New York Times reporter Ken Vogel said at the time that Elias denied involvement in the anti-Trump dossier. When Vogel tried to report the story, he said, Elias “pushed back vigorously, saying ‘You (or your sources) are wrong.’” Times reporter Maggie Haberman declared, “Folks involved in funding this lied about it, and with sanctimony, for a year.”

It was not just reporters who asked the Clinton campaign about its role in the Steele dossier. John Podesta, Clinton’s campaign chairman, was questioned by Congress and categorically denied any contractual agreement with Fusion GPS. Sitting beside him was Elias, who reportedly said nothing to correct the misleading information given to Congress.

With the likes of Marc Elias leading the cause against gerrymandering, the Democrats have reached a level of hypocrisy that knows no equal.

For the public, this growing war should support a movement to put an end to gerrymandering by all parties. Politicians will then have to look to voters, not maps to maintain their power.

Court Rulings Give North Carolina And Florida Republicans Major Wins For Election Integrity


BY: SHAWN FLEETWOOD | MAY 01, 2023

Read more at https://thefederalist.com/2023/05/01/court-rulings-give-north-carolina-and-florida-republicans-major-wins-for-election-integrity/

People voting on Election Day

North Carolina and Florida Republicans chalked up major wins last week after a series of court rulings upheld their respective election integrity efforts.

On Friday, the North Carolina Supreme Court overturned its previous decision banning gerrymandered districting in the state. Last year, the court’s then-Democrat majority (4-3) “threw out a state Senate map from the Republican-led state legislature and maintained congressional boundaries that had been drawn up by trial judges.” After Republicans won the state’s two Supreme Court races during the 2022 midterms, the high court’s new conservative majority (5-2) opted to rehear the case earlier this year.

“In its decision today, the Court returns to its tradition of honoring the constitutional roles assigned to each branch,” wrote Chief Justice Paul Newby in Friday’s decision. “This case is not about partisan politics but rather about realigning the proper roles of the judicial and legislative branches. Today we begin to correct course, returning the judiciary to its designated lane.”

In December, the U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments in Moore v. Harper, a case pertaining to the North Carolina redistricting fiasco. As The Federalist’s Margot Cleveland reported, the justices will ultimately decide whether a state court has the ability to usurp the constitutional power of state legislatures and “impose its own map for congressional districts drawn after the decennial census.”

[READ: In Moore v. Harper, SCOTUS Could Decide Who Gets The Final Say In A 2024 Election Dispute]

In addition to gerrymandering, the North Carolina Supreme Court also issued separate rulings upholding a previously passed voter ID law and overruling a trial court decision that permitted convicted felons on probation or parole to vote. In December 2018, the GOP-controlled General Assembly passed a bill mandating citizens show a form of valid ID when voting several weeks after North Carolina voters approved a photo ID constitutional ballot initiative.

In September 2021, a trial court struck down the 2018 statute, repeating the false claim that such laws discriminate against racial minorities. The then-Democrat-controlled Supreme Court affirmed the trial court’s ruling in December. Much like with its prior gerrymandering ruling, the high court’s new Republican majority decided to rehear the case.

According to The News & Observer, a local news outlet, acceptable forms of valid voter ID include a U.S. passport, an unexpired North Carolina driver’s license, a local or state government employee ID card, or a state voter identification card.

Legal Victory for Florida Republicans

Meanwhile, Florida Republicans scored a major victory for election integrity last week after a federal appeals court upheld a 2021 law aimed at enhancing security procedures regarding the use of mail-in ballots and ballot drop boxes. On Thursday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit ruled in a 2-1 decision that the March 2022 ruling by U.S. District Judge Mark Walker — an Obama appointee — was severely flawed.

In his decision, Walker alleged that Florida lawmakers demonstrated “intent to discriminate against Black voters” and asserted that the statute is “the stark result[] of a political system that, for well over a century, has overrepresented White Floridians and underrepresented Black and Latino Floridians.” The appeals court disagreed, writing that “the findings of intentional racial discrimination rest on both legal errors and clearly erroneous findings of fact.”

The court further admonished Walker’s faulty legal analysis, particularly his error in claiming that “a racist past is evidence of current intent.”

Under our precedent, this history cannot support a finding of discriminatory intent in this case. Florida’s more recent history does not support a finding of discriminatory intent,” wrote Chief Judge William Pryor.

Notably, Walker is also the judge tasked with overseeing Disney’s ongoing lawsuit against Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.


Shawn Fleetwood is a Staff Writer for The Federalist and a graduate of the University of Mary Washington. He also serves as a state content writer for Convention of States Action and his work has been featured in numerous outlets, including RealClearPolitics, RealClearHealth, and Conservative Review. Follow him on Twitter @ShawnFleetwood

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