Commentary by Daniel Horowitz | September 8, 2020
From day one, the media has been sowing panic by comparing the coronavirus to the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918, when an estimated 675,000 Americans died, the equivalent of over 2.2 million in today’s population. Moreover, the median age of those who died was 28, which means that the cumulative years of life lost were enormous. Contrast that to this virus: The median age of death in most places is either at or above life expectancy. The latest example is out of Florida, where, according to one reporter, the median age of death for the batch of reported coronavirus deaths on September 2 was 93.
Jennifer Cabrera, who writes at the Alachua Chronicle and has been posting daily updates on Florida’s death numbers, reported an astounding finding: Out of the 149 reported deaths in Florida on Wednesday, the median age was 93. That means that half of the people who allegedly died of COVID-19 according that day’s report were older than 93. She further notes that 64% of the deaths were over age 85, still over life expectancy for both sexes.
Data points like this provide a completely different context for the severity of this virus than the panic pornography we see in the media and what was sold to us as the original justification for such dramatically destructive shutdown measures. Furthermore, they raise serious questions about the accuracy of reported causes of death, particularly in such an old population.
Hundreds of thousands of young people will likely die early from economic despair, suicide, and substance abuse as a result of our response to a virus that kills in significant numbers those above the age of life expectancy. The panic, social isolation, and destruction of life and liberty have induced a crisis of suicide and clinical depression, most evident among young people who are least likely to die from the virus. This is especially absurd given that there is zero evidence to date showing any correlation between lockdown policies and better outcomes or lives saved from coronavirus.
Aside from the J.P. Morgan analysis that showed absolutely no statistical correlation, analytics agency TrendMacro used extremely detailed anonymized cellphone monitoring knowledge supplied by Google to show zero correlation between states with low social mobility scores and better coronavirus outcomes. In a detailed op-ed for the Wall Street Journal, the CIO of TrendMacro, Donald Luskin, shows that the depth and severity of lockdowns and the timing of reopening played no role in stopping the spread, as we have also observed from many states and countries throughout the world.
Aside from the context the median age of COVID-19 death provides, moreover, it raises questions about the accuracy of the count, because while many elderly people in nursing homes clearly did die from the virus, it’s also likely that many of them died of old age or other ailments. Now that we know that there are so many false positives, that so many are asymptomatic, and that as many as 90% of those who test positive do not have clinically meaningful loads of the virus, it calls into question even more the policy of automatically recording anyone who died after having tested positive as a COVID-19 death. This is especially true given that so many of those who died were in their 80s and 90s. Remember, while this coronavirus is dangerous to advanced seniors, there is a 22% chance that any male over the age of 93 (for females, it’s 18%) will not live out the year at all, without considering coronavirus. Given the false positives and asymptomatic cases, it’s likely that many of these people who merely tested positive and died thereafter, as opposed to those closer to 60 or so, did not die from the virus.
Remember, when they report deaths from weeks ago, it means state officials are going back into death certificates and trying to match them with anyone who tested positive prior to death. We now know that up to 90% of positive tests are picking up dead or insignificant viral loads in people who already essentially recovered from the virus or never knew they had it, which means that none of those people who later died could have been taken from this world by the virus itself.
In Florida, roughly a third of the recorded deaths from the September 2 reporting occurred over a month ago. Given the median age of those deaths, the nature of the testing, and the retroactive backfilling, how many of those are completely bogus? Had we done this during past flu seasons, especially the pandemic flu of 2018, we likely could have recorded well over 100,000 deaths.
Sadly, old people will never stop dying – ever. Given the way we are counting COVID-19 deaths, the obsessive focus on it, and the insidious agenda to retroactively discover more numbers, this pseudo-epidemic could go on indefinitely – even if the virus were essentially eradicated tomorrow.
Author: Daniel Horowitz
Daniel Horowitz is a senior editor of Conservative Review. Follow him on Twitter @RMConservative.