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Victor Davis Hanson Op-ed: Political ‘October Surprises’ Happening Earlier as ‘September Shocks’


By: Victor Davis Hanson | September 27, 2024

Read more at https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/09/27/political-october-surprises-happening-earlier-september-shocks/

Kamala Harris speaks at an event hosted by The Economic Club of Pittsburgh at Carnegie Mellon University on Sept. 25, 2024, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Jeff Swensen via Getty Images)

An October surprise is usually defined as the well-known (and more often left-wing) tactic of manufacturing or unloading a news story right before voting to surprise a rival without allowing them time sufficiently to respond or recover.

Think of the last-minute bombshell disclosure, five days before the 2000 election, that candidate George W. Bush had been cited for drunk driving over a quarter-century earlier. That surprise may have cost Bush the popular vote that year.

Sometimes, an incumbent can use his powers of office to warp the election. President Joe Biden benefited before the 2022 midterm elections when leftist activists leaked the impending Supreme Court repeal of Roe v. Wade.

Closer to the actual voting, Biden sought to cancel hundreds of billions of dollars of student debt owed to the federal government. He also began draining the strategic petroleum reserve to lower gas prices (as he is doing again this election year, as well). No wonder the predicted Republican midterm red wave ended up a tiny ripple.

More often, October surprises are more ad hominem and unleashed on a rival candidate’s supposedly previously undisclosed failings. At the end of the 2016 campaign, Hillary Clinton’s team leaked news of her purchased bogus “Steele Dossier” as supposed proof of Trump-Russian “collusion.”

On the eve of the last 2020 presidential debate, Biden delegated now Secretary of State Antony Blinken to work with former interim CIA Director Mike Morrell to round up “51 former intelligence authorities.” They were to lie that the incriminating Hunter Biden laptop was likely a product of a Russian intelligence “disinformation” operation. The ruse worked—turning potential proof of Biden family corruption into a replay of the fake 2016 Trump-Russian collusion hoax.

This time around, apparently the Harris campaign could not wait until October or early November to spring their surprises. Perhaps the Harris campaign’s impatience is due to Democratically inspired radical changes to state voting laws. Remember that in 2020, under the cover of COVID-19, Democrat legal teams got state laws altered to institutionalize early and mail-in voting in key states. Those changes reduced our once iconic Election Day into a mere construct when only 30% of voters cast their ballots. So, former October surprises—both the embarrassing disclosures and the use of incumbency to warp the election—are now becoming earlier and more frequent preemptive “September” shocks.

Suddenly, the Federal Reserve Bank, just 50 days before the election, decided that interest rates that spiraled under Biden-Harris in reaction to their hyperinflation right now need to be slashed—as supposed proof that the Biden-Harris inflation is now over, and the economy needs a sudden revving up.

Just as abruptly, on Sept. 23, just 43 days before Election Day, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was flown by the Biden-Harris administration—at U.S. government expense—into the United States. More amazingly, Zelenskyy landed first in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania, where most observers believe the currently deadlocked election will be decided. No surprise, Zelenskyy immediately toured a Pennsylvania munitions plant making artillery shells likely destined for his Ukraine—at a time when the state’s voters are concerned about job losses. The Harris-Biden administration was sending the not-so-subtle message that providing billions of dollars in arms to Zelenskyy’s Ukraine translates into jobs for voting Pennsylvanians.

But that was not all to this crass September surprise. In an interview with the left-wing, pro-Biden-Harris New Yorker magazine, Zelenskyy plunged right into the current neck-and-neck presidential race. He trashed Harris’ rival, former President Donald Trump, as someone who “doesn’t really know how to stop the war even if he might think he knows how.” Not satisfied with that putdown, the Ukrainian president hit even harder Trump’s running mate and vice-presidential candidate, JD Vance, as “dangerous” and “too radical.”

The left still talks nonstop about nonexistent 2016 Trump-Russia “collusion” and equally bogus 2020 Trump-Russian “disinformation.” Yet it would be hard to define any clearer “election interference” than the current Zelenskyy surprise. After all, has any vice president incumbent running for president ever flown in a foreign leader on a U.S. military jet to the one key U.S. state that will likely decide the impending election?

And furthermore, has any paraded him around that state’s weapons export plant while he trashed current Vice President Kamala Harris’ two opponents with invectives like “dangerous” and “radical?”

And why else was Zelenskyy’s Pennsylvania trip arranged by the Biden-Harris administration but to coincide with the traditional dates that mail-in and early-voting balloting start? Yet were the Zelenskyy sudden Pennsylvania drop-in and his crude domestic politicking and trashing of Trump and Vance all that wise? After all, Harris’ opponent Trump had just escaped an assassination attempt from a pro-Ukrainian gunman furious over Trump’s purported preference for a negotiated settlement to the 30-month-long, 1-million-casualties war.

Add it all up, and sometimes September surprises backfire—when they appear to voters as crude and insulting rather than just conniving.

Originally Published by the Tribute Content Agency.

BREAKING: Wikileaks Founder Reveals ISLAMIC ‘October Surprise’ Bound to DESTROY Hillary


waving flagPosted on August 16, 2016

Screen Shot 2016-08-16 at 10.26.18 AMIf Assange’s previous document dumps weren’t enough to destroy Hillary, then he has one set to release in October that will really put Hillary in her grave… that is if she doesn’t try to kill him first. Check this out.

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange has threatened to release more incriminating emails about Democrat presidential candidate Hillary Clinton before Election Day in what fearful Democrats have begun describing as a potential “October surprise.”

Specifically, Assange planned to release emails that show the ties between Clinton and Saudi Arabia, according to Fox News.

“Saudi Arabia is probably the largest single donor to the Clinton Foundation, and you can see Clinton’s arms export policies when she was a secretary of state favoring extensively Saudi Arabia,” Assange said during an interview last week with RT.

This poses potentially huge problems for the Democrats, given that the Saudis are proponents of Wahhabism, a fundamentalist branch of Islamic theology. Moreover, the Saudis rank as some of the worst human rights abusers in the world.

The WikiLeaks founder also reportedly intended to expose Clinton’s connection to Russia.

“There is a much deeper connection on record with Hillary Clinton and Russia than we are presently aware of with Donald Trump,” he claimed. “Hillary Clinton did quite well strategically to draw a connection between Trump and Russia because she has so many connections of her own.”

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Barack Obama’s October Surprise


MId Term drawing

Posted by Michael BeckerOctober 24, 2014

Read more at http://joeforamerica.com/2014/10/barack-obamas-october-surprise/

Political campaigns are famous for trotting out an “October Surprise” on their opponents.  In 2000, Al Gore accused George Bush of getting a DWI 30 years prior.  Apparently a lot of “values voters” decided they couldn’t vote for anybody who’d had a drink too many 30 years prior and it cost Bush a hefty number of popular votes.

Every election has rumbles of a “surprise” and this year is no different.  Well, there is one difference this year and we’ll point that out in just a moment.

Barack Obama is about as popular on the campaign trail for Democrats as Ebola.  Maybe less popular, you can apparently survive Ebola and a Democratic campaign probably won’t survive a visit from the Royal Narcissist.  That’s why you see all of the Democratic Senators up for election this year even refusing to say that they voted for the President in either of the last two Presidential elections.  The President even went so far as to say that they should do anything they have to in order to get elected and it won’t hurt his feelings.

Then came this little gem.

oct surprise 01

“These are folks who are strong allies and supporters of ME…”  Heh.  Mr. Obama just put himself on the ballot.  Thanks Barack.

Now then, let’s talk about the “won’t hurt my feelings” meme.

Here’s what Josh Earnest had to say, speaking for the President, about the upcoming elections.

oct surprise 02

Here come the bus, here come the bus, order on the sidewalk, get under that bus!

For you youngsters reading this, that is a paraphrase of a sketch from Laugh In, back in the age of enlightenment.

oct surprise 03

To sum up the position of “the judge” – and that would be one Barack H. Obama – you’re on your own suckers!  The difference between this year’s “October Surprise” and every other year’s “October Surprise” is that this year Barack pulled the surprise on his own party.

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